Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Yes probability

97.7%

24h change

-0.60%

Total volume

$360,343

Liquidity

$9,287

Price history

YesNo

Outcomes

Yes97.7%

No2.4%

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.

Market opened Dec 12, 2025, 4:15 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$930

1 week volume

$4,398

1 month volume

$41,567

1 year volume

$360,343

Spread

0.90%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

81.5%

1h change

+0.05%

1 week change

-0.65%

1 month change

+58.15%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:: 0x0a84cdeb03a25ae441697191edbcc31ad6803c3f4d48af2e0429952336c04fc1
Question ID:: 0x120dc4ac8685a62d748432bc0e161495fa3408a94bdfc54d86a322cf7c5d77e0

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 97.7%, No at 2.4% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$360,343 in total volume, with $930 in the last 24 hours and $9,287 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Dec 12, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.