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Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

97.0%

24h change

-0.10%

Total volume

$2.2M

Liquidity

$100,052

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 23.0%97.0%

Outcomes

Yes3.0%
No97.0%

Order book

Yes · 109 levels
BidsSize
  1. 3¢240
  2. 3¢560
  3. 3¢394
  4. 3¢372
  5. 3¢16,634
  6. 3¢365
  7. 2¢5
  8. 2¢683
AsksSize
  1. 3¢14,442
  2. 3¢30
  3. 3¢30
  4. 3¢244
  5. 4¢3,094
  6. 4¢5
  7. 4¢219
  8. 4¢5

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market opened Nov 24, 2025, 6:55 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$16,257

1 week volume

$78,522

1 month volume

$209,143

1 year volume

$2.2M

Spread

0.10%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

81.9%

1h change

—

1 week change

-0.40%

1 month change

-1.60%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x885a6abefad122348b4fbd503473d7fd1f9035d0438cf988a7591620f316a859
Question ID:
0xe4c7c3c1a9b59c550c4e21d64a8eb000ebb76d9e959f32674074b834dfd35425

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?" prediction market?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 3.0%, No at 97.0% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$2.2M in total volume, with $16,257 in the last 24 hours and $100,052 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Nov 24, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.