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Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Active · Ends Oct 28, 2026

No probability

95.7%

24h change

-0.65%

Total volume

$4.9M

Liquidity

$83,620

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 24.3%95.7%

Outcomes

Yes4.3%
No95.7%

Order book

Yes · 135 levels
BidsSize
  1. 4¢135
  2. 4¢1,570
  3. 3¢3,000
  4. 3¢1,500
  5. 3¢3,055
  6. 3¢6,378
  7. 3¢15,555
  8. 2¢30,000
AsksSize
  1. 5¢140
  2. 5¢13,508
  3. 6¢95
  4. 6¢222
  5. 6¢2,000
  6. 6¢3,000
  7. 6¢1,000
  8. 7¢15

  • uriash15h ago

    "The plan to bring back Liberman: Likud considers a rotation proposal with presidential backing." (Maariv)

    0

  • Delishboy7h ago

    well they didnt, as he just recommended eizenkot to the president.

    0

  • gojomojo6h ago

    its all negotiations

    0

  • vonhalen18h ago

    why did other drop to zero?

    0

  • SueldoMaximo19h ago

    price manipulation

    0

  • uriash1d ago

    Dramatic report: Liberman will attempt to form a government led by him (Headline in "Srugim")

    0

  • gojomojo1d ago

    Lieberman holds all the cards.. 🃏♠️

    0

  • uriash1d ago

    Yep, he holds the same position that Bennett had back in 2021.

    0

  • 0xdc0acc48b06e9b57eb7c9df145ec268f6b56d7741d ago

    Funny flop

    0

  • Morgrur1d ago

    למה גדי מזנק? יש סיבה ריאלית?

    0

  • Delishboy1d ago

    אולי כי הרצוג יתן כנראה לאיזנקוט את המנדט להקים ממשלה? לא בטוח תאמתי

    0

  • carmax1d ago

    Bennett and Arab parties might support Eizenkot

    2

  • jvro1d ago

    No one wants to have anything in common with arab parties

    4

  • Anonymous50333341m ago

    No but you watch bibi 100% working a deal with the Arab parties to get the seats he needs

    0

  • 0x976CA0b13fdBc40fa59813e8fA21bAF041F7735e-17758279335831d ago

    Bibi bye bye bye!

    0

  • ItsRigg3d1d ago

    Something going on behind the scenes 👀

    0

  • gojomojo1d ago

    Buying on the way down is fun how low can we go

    1

  • igethebag1d ago

    terrible coping mechanism bro

    2

  • gojomojo1d ago

    I know right lol

    0

  • gojomojo1d ago

    Congrats to the Lieberman holders who 5X their money

    1

  • Yoyosit1d ago

    Why I can’t sell my position?

    1

  • jvro1d ago

    Hold. Big Yahu always wins

    4

  • goassmaggus1d ago

    I cant sell my shares, coud not yesterday also, what is this scam

    1

  • Thewindblows1d ago

    Me too!! Shit platform with

    0

  • phsr1d ago

    log out and log in again

    0

  • goassmaggus1d ago

    that worked thx. at least I only lost like 20 bucks from this, still annoying

    0

  • Sleepingleaf16h ago

    Use a different browser or log out and in again

    0

  • SueldoMaximo2d ago

    price manupulation

    1

  • ItsRigg3d1d ago

    Be careful on the 3rd, bro. There are deals being made.

    0

  • bloodborne2d ago

    bloodborne

    0

  • AVI1762d ago

    אם לא יהיה הכרעה עד התאריך שמופיע התוצאה תהייה אחר אבל אין הימור אחר שאפשר לקחת בשביל לעשות גיבוי

    0

  • TheJewishHammer2d ago

    זה עד סוף השנה הבאה. בעזרת השם תהיה הכרעה לימין

    1

  • 0xaaa1A769C6Ab0Acfd056E1cf86822c99eDDD7E69-17786770867672d ago

    זה לא נכון, התוצאה תהיה אחר רק אם נגיע לסוף שנה בלי הכרעה, אם לא תהיה הכרעה ויגיעו לבחירות נוספות ההימור ממשיך להיות פתוח, במידה והבחירות הנוספות יקבעו ל 2028 אני מאמין שהם יאריכו את התאריך שהקציבו לאחר

    0

  • letsgoooooV2d ago

    הכרעה לגוש קטאר? לא נראלי. איזנקוט ראש הממשלה הבא

    0

  • conormurphy2d ago

    אחר אומר שכל האפשרויות RESOLVE TO NO

    0

  • 0xF2FC74512Fe6674bF74d801D21e4e60da8522f19-17833715703802d ago

    לפי מה שהבנתי אם יהיה עוד בחירות וביבי ייבחר זה עדיין תופס

    1

  • bonnieGoon2d ago

    ....אחי זה מה שרשום בחוקים

    0

  • 0xD512f1092543dbA882AA2c594127118A720079B3-17688464243972d ago

    תתרגם שוב דרך הצט

    0

  • conormurphy2d ago

    IF HE WILL BE SWORN AS PRIME MINISTER BY DEC31 2027 RESOLVES TO YES , IF NO ONE / ANOTHER IS SWORN AS , IT RESOLVES NO

    0

  • TheJewishHammer2d ago

    כן. יש שני תנאים לשוק: 1 זה הזמן. 2 שיהיה ראש ממשלה. עד שלא מתממש אחד מהתנאים, ההימור קיים.

    0

  • conormurphy2d ago

    WHAT NOW

    4

  • Randompx2d ago

    I can’t let u get close 🗣️🔥

    4

  • Moneymaxerr2d ago

    What now xD

    1

  • JohnnyDODEPP12d ago

    On 4 November no will be at 80-90

    0

  • SDFbs2d ago

    It'll not, bet on it don't be a p*ssy only 400?

    1

Rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market opened Nov 14, 2025, 6:50 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$150,776

1 week volume

$1.2M

1 month volume

$1.9M

1 year volume

$4.9M

Spread

1.20%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

82.7%

1h change

-0.30%

1 week change

+2.15%

1 month change

+2.45%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0xadffc96f54f350b3655f72fe2853c81bfd705e9703f62469e6a14782ad5d4ec0
Question ID:
0x03c9c6d9f7b20aaa1f33f99bd24bd16e4e0e00cfa892dde097b800655490b205

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?" prediction market?

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 4.3%, No at 95.7% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$4.9M in total volume, with $150,776 in the last 24 hours and $83,620 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Oct 28, 2026. The market opened on Nov 15, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.

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