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Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

98.8%

24h change

-0.80%

Total volume

$492,512

Liquidity

$187,297

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 21.3%98.8%

Outcomes

Yes1.3%
No98.8%

Order book

Yes · 106 levels
BidsSize
  1. 1¢1,422
  2. 1¢979
  3. 1¢33,468
  4. 1¢5,465
  5. 1¢218
  6. 1¢2,073
  7. 1¢8,717
  8. 1¢2,424
AsksSize
  1. 1¢2,151
  2. 1¢5
  3. 2¢55
  4. 2¢30
  5. 2¢388
  6. 2¢2,135
  7. 2¢8,536
  8. 2¢1,007

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market opened Nov 11, 2025, 10:36 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:12 PM

Market data

24h volume

$14,014

1 week volume

$59,210

1 month volume

$232,174

1 year volume

$492,512

Spread

0.10%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

80.8%

1h change

—

1 week change

-2.20%

1 month change

-3.05%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x80bdbe1b7d1f99f9e95c587e3a9ed4f20c54dfb1dc45b02977bf9bec040d8262
Question ID:
0x027d5bfee9c9567ddafd64436e0d890335433b78b2a15ef664347d805cf0a8a1

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Modi out by December 31, 2026?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 1.3%, No at 98.8% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$492,512 in total volume, with $14,014 in the last 24 hours and $187,297 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Nov 13, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.