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Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

64.3%

24h change

-8.20%

Total volume

$1.4M

Liquidity

$82,069

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 235.7%64.2%

Outcomes

Yes35.7%
No64.3%

Order book

Yes · 160 levels
BidsSize
  1. 34¢225
  2. 34¢25
  3. 34¢12
  4. 32¢100
  5. 27¢271
  6. 27¢5
  7. 27¢180
  8. 27¢800
AsksSize
  1. 37¢20
  2. 38¢17
  3. 38¢114
  4. 38¢159
  5. 39¢154
  6. 39¢5
  7. 39¢845
  8. 39¢15

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Rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market opened Nov 11, 2025, 5:42 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$2,189

1 week volume

$83,823

1 month volume

$404,859

1 year volume

$1.4M

Spread

3.20%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

98.0%

1h change

-3.60%

1 week change

+1.50%

1 month change

+25.05%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0x55a5a4b50b7947482e95af8f638fa0b8d9a46740c5cd04c6799443e83565176a
Question ID:
0xd1dae9b7a4d2dc2ee926122b07bde454e05943d4ba9c9b4e0ebf4da9da4aa702

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 35.7%, No at 64.3% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$1.4M in total volume, with $2,189 in the last 24 hours and $82,069 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Nov 12, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.