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NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

95.0%

24h change

-3.50%

Total volume

$148,981

Liquidity

$5,638

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 25.0%95.0%

Outcomes

Yes5.0%
No95.0%

Order book

Yes · 60 levels
BidsSize
  1. 4¢40
  2. 4¢265
  3. 4¢225
  4. 3¢375
  5. 3¢1,270
  6. 3¢8,830
  7. 3¢15
  8. 2¢6
AsksSize
  1. 6¢5
  2. 6¢615
  3. 7¢36
  4. 9¢181
  5. 9¢203
  6. 10¢100
  7. 15¢100
  8. 17¢100

  • Arvim2mo ago

    7%라는 기준선은 오늘날 기관 주식 시장에서 볼 때 장중 엄청난 변동 폭입니다.

    0

  • perps-01sqko852mo ago

    AI bubble may lead to a big drop

    0

  • pastelglide53763mo ago

    This is why i just copy trade...

    0

  • ransack11mo ago

    last circuit breaker before covid was in the 1990's, good luck yes holders

    2

  • Basilomo11mo ago

    but they change rule , it was need 10% , now only 7%

    0

  • 0x1ABe6E6e6BAaAEFE27815DA92a4982eE3868ECB5-176141846311210mo ago

    With the level of optimism that we have in the market, we will probably have one in the middle of 2026, it is just that the risk and illiquidity still doesn't justify anyone jumping into this. There is no certainty but there is a possibility for it to happen otherwise it would be already priced in

    1

  • ddalkkak6mo ago

    why do u just arbiatrily exclude covid like its not part of a data poit

    2

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market opened Nov 7, 2025, 8:22 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$7,960

1 week volume

$15,745

1 month volume

$29,740

1 year volume

$148,981

Spread

1.80%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

83.2%

1h change

-0.05%

1 week change

-3.00%

1 month change

-3.50%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x51cc0614ea1f7bec1578cc308d2514e2d2cbe0501707bba7f0eea17652956e44
Question ID:
0xd8d5e8429cd06b3d91e3ac24e732386b61f29c1e4a73bd284b955424151ab273

Frequently asked questions

What is the "NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 5.0%, No at 95.0% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$148,981 in total volume, with $7,960 in the last 24 hours and $5,638 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Nov 7, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.

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