Back to markets

Trump out as President before 2027?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

96.5%

24h change

+0.10%

Total volume

$13.6M

Liquidity

$246,084

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 23.5%96.5%

Outcomes

Yes3.5%
No96.5%

Order book

Yes · 167 levels
BidsSize
  1. 4¢3,079
  2. 3¢6,106
  3. 3¢5,610
  4. 3¢9,861
  5. 3¢6,374
  6. 3¢25,500
  7. 3¢4,595
  8. 3¢5,450
AsksSize
  1. 4¢11,860
  2. 4¢350
  3. 4¢330
  4. 4¢529
  5. 4¢538
  6. 4¢3,027
  7. 4¢520
  8. 4¢522

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market opened Nov 5, 2025, 7:22 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:16 PM

Market data

24h volume

$49,348

1 week volume

$378,225

1 month volume

$1.3M

1 year volume

$13.6M

Spread

0.10%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

82.3%

1h change

—

1 week change

-0.50%

1 month change

-0.25%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x48b0b0bca515f68fccf95af4793dbd0edbfec1f8ec6e8df2c0f69ba74f8c4722
Question ID:
0x7e95c4e517abdbaeffde2c42b79fce0234fc02f2776b25fae517bb6e0ee9f435

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Trump out as President before 2027?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 3.5%, No at 96.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$13.6M in total volume, with $49,348 in the last 24 hours and $246,084 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Nov 5, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.