Back to markets

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

97.2%

24h change

+0.05%

Total volume

$1.1M

Liquidity

$32,060

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 22.8%97.2%

Outcomes

Yes2.8%
No97.2%

Order book

Yes · 110 levels
BidsSize
  1. 3¢454
  2. 3¢269
  3. 2¢375
  4. 2¢250
  5. 2¢200
  6. 2¢256
  7. 2¢56
  8. 2¢156
AsksSize
  1. 3¢122
  2. 3¢114
  3. 3¢257
  4. 3¢1,657
  5. 3¢22
  6. 4¢175
  7. 4¢137
  8. 4¢56

  • 0x9ab31mo ago

    Sam Altman said no.

    0

  • 0x9ab31mo ago

    .. IPO in 2026.

    0

  • tristanb1mo ago

    So the guy who always lies said something...

    0

  • 0x9ab325d ago

    Good point.

    0

  • Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc2mo ago

    I really hope they will IPO, it will be awesome.

    0

  • usuch4mo ago

    ALTMAN EXPECTS OPENAI TO GO PUBLIC WITHIN NEXT YEAR

    0

  • FragIT5mo ago

    I love israel

    2

  • mewmew15mo ago

    inevitable

    0

  • guhu5mo ago

    putting it out there

    0

  • SeanLew5mo ago

    rush to market

    1

  • Netflixer5mo ago

    GEMINI ONLY

    1

  • Rooglish6mo ago

    All this Ai gibberish now and open ai has more problems. They are three huge companies inextricably tied to open ai and their internal disaster . Amd, microsoft, and oracle at least

    1

  • ChainPunkTrader11mo ago

    insider activity been picking up quietly on this one, just putting it out there

    2

  • hulululu11mo ago

    not gonna happen

    1

  • CosmoHale12mo ago

    OpenAI's IPO push targeted for early 2026 is drawing massive venture capital inflows as AI ethics debates rage on in boardrooms worldwide.

    0

  • Lindsxy12mo ago

    They are unlikely to seek an IPO in the short term until stable demand is established.

    0

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Market opened Oct 29, 2025, 11:48 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$1,636

1 week volume

$15,801

1 month volume

$62,033

1 year volume

$1.1M

Spread

0.20%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

81.8%

1h change

-0.10%

1 week change

-0.65%

1 month change

-0.95%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x66f5b8203ee1c36b993af623fd7f9ef7271dd87b3aebf6df508048ad4b563432
Question ID:
0xf77b2e8a0dd47689758a3ba166c0e6d32e28c63344228ab20cac5cb365dae6b1

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 2.8%, No at 97.2% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$1.1M in total volume, with $1,636 in the last 24 hours and $32,060 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Oct 30, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.

Related markets