Back to markets

Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?

Active · Ends Nov 2, 2026

Up probability

99.9%

24h change

+54.90%

Total volume

$663,072

Liquidity

$146,148

Price history

UpDown
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31Nov 1Nov 299.9%0.1%

Outcomes

Up99.9%
Down0.1%

Order book

Up · 18 levels
BidsSize
  1. 100¢36,000
  2. 99¢25,000
  3. 99¢20,000
  4. 92¢77
  5. 92¢500
  6. 90¢10,902
  7. 90¢10,000
  8. 80¢4,000
AsksSize
  1. No resting orders

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Market opened Oct 31, 2026, 4:07 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 9:31 PM

Market data

24h volume

$658,257

1 week volume

$663,072

1 month volume

$663,072

1 year volume

$663,072

Spread

0.20%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

80.1%

1h change

+0.05%

1 week change

—

1 month change

—

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x9c81f9c57cde59d5af7cac4c6cf4763154050711cdd6c35ad4a8b4310acf71dd
Question ID:
0x4cfa2eb715794157b8370b663d4172dc263940a511eab04e7270a1b42b724ae7

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

What are the current odds?

Up at 99.9%, Down at 0.1% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$663,072 in total volume, with $658,257 in the last 24 hours and $146,148 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Nov 2, 2026. The market opened on Oct 31, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.