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Will US gas hit $4.10 (Low) in November?

Active · Ends Nov 30, 2026

Yes probability

86.5%

24h change

+37.00%

Total volume

$4,871

Liquidity

$1,667

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31Nov 1Nov 286.5%13.5%

Outcomes

Yes86.5%
No13.5%

Order book

Yes · 37 levels
BidsSize
  1. 85¢240
  2. 84¢305
  3. 83¢241
  4. 82¢10
  5. 81¢50
  6. 70¢100
  7. 68¢20
  8. 66¢19
AsksSize
  1. 88¢240
  2. 89¢393
  3. 90¢120
  4. 92¢20
  5. 93¢71
  6. 94¢109
  7. 95¢100
  8. 96¢7

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or below the specified price for any date from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on one or more dates within the specified month, this market will resolve based on the prices observed for the remaining dates. The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/). Note: AAA currently publishes gas prices to four decimal places (e.g., $4.3718). The price will be used as published, without rounding.

Market opened Oct 31, 2026, 2:14 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$4,871

1 week volume

$4,871

1 month volume

$4,871

1 year volume

$4,871

Spread

3.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

88.2%

1h change

-0.50%

1 week change

—

1 month change

—

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x5e6a0b0f6035836daad4d647f02082e625db762207dcc436c7b7626a6d74084a
Question ID:
0x305d79855fd1934d2fa8b5efe073186bc38281ff562a3d3af3889decf6ded48b

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will US gas hit $4.10 (Low) in November?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or below the specified price for any date from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on one or more dates within the specified month, this market will resolve based on the prices observed for the remaining dates. The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/). Note: AAA currently publishes gas prices to four decimal places (e.g., $4.3718). The price will be used as published, without rounding.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 86.5%, No at 13.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$4,871 in total volume, with $4,871 in the last 24 hours and $1,667 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Nov 30, 2026. The market opened on Oct 31, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.