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Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?

Active · Ends Dec 1, 2026

No probability

63.0%

24h change

+10.50%

Total volume

$88,079

Liquidity

$24,435

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31Nov 1Nov 236.5%63.5%

Outcomes

Yes37.0%
No63.0%

Order book

Yes · 49 levels
BidsSize
  1. 34¢40
  2. 33¢200
  3. 32¢310
  4. 31¢190
  5. 29¢55
  6. 26¢266
  7. 25¢205
  8. 21¢26
AsksSize
  1. 40¢200
  2. 41¢200
  3. 46¢20
  4. 57¢310
  5. 58¢12
  6. 59¢20
  7. 60¢20
  8. 70¢20

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Market opened Oct 31, 2026, 12:26 AM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$79,925

1 week volume

$88,079

1 month volume

$88,079

1 year volume

$88,079

Spread

6.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

98.3%

1h change

—

1 week change

—

1 month change

—

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0xacf5e7b7d1541bf7d741b6e68e75c316a959b823b4f544476523a00ad095380f
Question ID:
0xfbe022759845968d5c6cdfcbe93f7008a2593b3a427b04b7bbd5f078e166cd72

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 37.0%, No at 63.0% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$88,079 in total volume, with $79,925 in the last 24 hours and $24,435 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Dec 1, 2026. The market opened on Oct 31, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.