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Will NYC have between 4.25 and 5.75 inches of precipitation in November?

Active · Ends Feb 8, 2027

No probability

83.0%

24h change

-6.50%

Total volume

$200

Liquidity

$269

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30Nov 1Nov 217.0%83.0%

Outcomes

Yes17.0%
No83.0%

Order book

Yes · 14 levels
BidsSize
  1. 7¢5
  2. 6¢50
  3. 1¢100
AsksSize
  1. 27¢20
  2. 57¢30
  3. 58¢20
  4. 59¢443
  5. 63¢9
  6. 85¢45
  7. 86¢73
  8. 88¢55

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between November 1 and November 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for November 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of November 2026. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

Market opened Oct 30, 2026, 2:53 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$107

1 week volume

$200

1 month volume

$200

1 year volume

$200

Spread

20.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

90.2%

1h change

—

1 week change

—

1 month change

—

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0x30609432b839c64bc76f934667c25688d59b19e00b325cf05098e3f793c07569
Question ID:
0x6c2e4bf8a3a92e37c6beeca59a90a642a073f5690316b5e4663004fa3908bc04

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will NYC have between 4.25 and 5.75 inches of precipitation in November?" prediction market?

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between November 1 and November 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for November 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of November 2026. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 17.0%, No at 83.0% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$200 in total volume, with $107 in the last 24 hours and $269 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Feb 8, 2027. The market opened on Oct 30, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.