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Will Hong Kong have between 25-35mm of precipitation in November?

Active · Ends Feb 8, 2027

No probability

74.0%

24h change

-2.00%

Total volume

$236

Liquidity

$57

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30Nov 1Nov 226.0%74.0%

Outcomes

Yes26.0%
No74.0%

Order book

Yes · 13 levels
BidsSize
  1. 12¢87
  2. 10¢21
  3. 1¢50
AsksSize
  1. 40¢10
  2. 74¢7
  3. 81¢30
  4. 82¢80
  5. 84¢34
  6. 87¢55
  7. 90¢21
  8. 95¢13

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between November 1 and November 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in November 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

Market opened Oct 30, 2026, 2:53 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$147

1 week volume

$236

1 month volume

$236

1 year volume

$236

Spread

28.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

68.1%

1h change

+0.50%

1 week change

—

1 month change

—

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0xf4a1c32b24d7aa054e7568a9db1c1d607cd8875ef06b7a59118505c58ef90534
Question ID:
0x745b7f689e3141285215cb137f5e2a63d8bb9dc13ebe6e0ce71ea939d40b7703

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Hong Kong have between 25-35mm of precipitation in November?" prediction market?

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between November 1 and November 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in November 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 26.0%, No at 74.0% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$236 in total volume, with $147 in the last 24 hours and $57 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Feb 8, 2027. The market opened on Oct 30, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.