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Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Active · Ends Nov 4, 2026

No probability

72.5%

24h change

+2.00%

Total volume

$1.1M

Liquidity

$681,138

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 227.5%72.5%

Outcomes

Yes27.5%
No72.5%

Order book

Yes · 65 levels
BidsSize
  1. 27¢25,481
  2. 26¢78,050
  3. 25¢199,976
  4. 24¢235,313
  5. 23¢705,330
  6. 22¢13,550
  7. 21¢200
  8. 18¢100
AsksSize
  1. 28¢12,028
  2. 29¢101,025
  3. 30¢208,612
  4. 31¢47,232
  5. 32¢24,969
  6. 33¢8,242
  7. 34¢8,622
  8. 35¢5,360

  • 0x7D5Ce66c8d69517CD0685df5660183BaeC76c15f-179093905430810d ago

    zq < > zq

    0

  • 0x7D5Ce66c8d69517CD0685df5660183BaeC76c15f-179093905430810d ago

    zq zq

    0

  • 0x7D5Ce66c8d69517CD0685df5660183BaeC76c15f-179093905430810d ago

    zq alert(1) zq

    0

  • 0x7D5Ce66c8d69517CD0685df5660183BaeC76c15f-179093905430810d ago

    zq

    0

  • 0x7D5Ce66c8d69517CD0685df5660183BaeC76c15f-179093905430810d ago

    zqb <4% zqb

    0

  • 0x7D5Ce66c8d69517CD0685df5660183BaeC76c15f-179093905430810d ago

    zqa < b zqa

    0

  • 0x7D5Ce66c8d69517CD0685df5660183BaeC76c15f-179093905430810d ago

    zqlt probe & "q" end

    0

  • 0x7D5Ce66c8d69517CD0685df5660183BaeC76c15f-179093905430811d ago

    zqwriterprobe 9880764

    0

  • Salto32112d ago

    Fish Family Freedom

    0

  • hoanganhfairy21d ago

    Free money

    0

  • Muizademola1mo ago

    That is good bro

    0

  • ocpna1mo ago

    groceeries cost $1000 in alaska bro

    4

  • janis124316d ago

    what are you guys eating

    0

  • dunlur3d ago

    dinder

    0

  • ChinMusic4mo ago

    No way Peltola wins this. Easy money.

    2

  • Norco662mo ago

    Check todays primary results 😂😂

    5

  • hdtomo1mo ago

    Oof

    3

  • randyandi1mo ago

    you maga morons thins that no democrat will be winning looking forward to the result

    1

  • 0x6de23F9461277553272abFFbE411F9400F4Deb4e-17757924970925mo ago

    Darden is Going to win

    0

  • HDTomo-2297mo ago

    Seems to echo a market that knows Mary Peltola has S tier appeal but isn't willing to commit until polling comes out, which has been starved since Peltola first went for the nomination. It echoes Hannah Spencer over here in the UK being priced equal to Reform UK before resulting in a stonking majority, largely due to fog of war.

    1

  • i2dt7mo ago

    I bet next polling shows Peltola up 5+

    2

  • hdtomo7mo ago

    bingo

    2

  • JustTheFacts9mo ago

    New - Senate poll - Alaska 🔵 Peltola 48% 🔴 Sullivan (Inc) 46% Alaska survey #B - RV - 1/11

    1

  • JustTheFacts9mo ago

    Flip

    0

  • myrinsk9mo ago

    peltola sweep

    0

  • guluh9mo ago

    gg bj cu

    0

  • Afris9mo ago

    She could become Queen of Alaska if she really tried in this climate

    1

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Market opened Oct 13, 2025, 7:02 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$123,492

1 week volume

$459,654

1 month volume

$791,223

1 year volume

$1.1M

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

95.2%

1h change

—

1 week change

+2.00%

1 month change

—

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0x741bb46008b72234857c5118c8365ab3c2f69dbf28b30b59de04f173b8a778de
Question ID:
0x050793c05e8e34c5a4f7132911e1fd3d24b060b96328ea1939f9e4359198f200

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?" prediction market?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 27.5%, No at 72.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$1.1M in total volume, with $123,492 in the last 24 hours and $681,138 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Nov 4, 2026. The market opened on Oct 13, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.

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