Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Active · Ends Nov 4, 2026

Yes probability

70.5%

24h change

-3.00%

Total volume

$1.7M

Liquidity

$411,891

Price history

YesNo

Outcomes

Yes70.5%

No29.5%

AnEggplant3h ago
I heard Husted has a great ass, bet accordingly
0
ithinkthisisgod1d ago
free money on red, people falling for the polls again
0
randyandi11h ago
then put your money where your mouth is
1
AnEggplant5h ago
No position, hmmm
0
buyrightbake6d ago
Finally getting some volume in the Margin of Victory markets
0
0xea4f87e88E2240F18E6aDbD90e789bf19Ce78588-177386515187713d ago
According to trump Jons got a nice ass!
0
AnEggplant12d ago
Bet accordingly
0
AnEggplant1mo ago
You got Kansas as a toss up but sure, Reps will hold on in Ohio
2
randyandi28d ago
good luck with that you maga moron
0
0xea4f87e88E2240F18E6aDbD90e789bf19Ce78588-177386515187723d ago
He isn't maga lol
3
Giorgio21mo ago
ok it's Ohio... But look at the polls
2
Magician53421mo ago
Jon Husted acts like he is not the incumbent, disgusting
0
JustTheFacts1mo ago
This should not be that close
0
bernardbulletin1mo ago
unlike in Michigan, Maine, and Texas, it's hard to see the bull case for Republicans in Ohio. if this race was a tossup a year ago, it has probably drifted into the D column since then.
4
456ythgbvcadscvb1mo ago
fell for it again award
0
AnEggplant1mo ago
LMAO even Trashfalgar has Brown ahead
1
SnapElectionAvoider2mo ago
If Sherrod Brown drops out, how does his contract resolve?
0
kimjongun1232mo ago
It's always the party not the candidate. He can't drop out and be replaced anyway, the deadline passed on Wednesday in Ohio. And why would he?
2
SnapElectionAvoider2mo ago
Stop changing the rules in the markets.
0
Snarfsnarfsnarf3mo ago
Communism vs Capitalism Ohio decides in this death match
0
FuckTrump3mo ago
Imagine comparing Sherrod Brown to communism. You have dog food for brains.
8
AHN-6677mo ago
I think Husted will win by 3% , because he is much stronger than Moreno.
0
NoDikTaters16006mo ago
Moreno is a scumbag
2
HDTomo-2297mo ago
The flip has finally happened - I expect this to expand to 60/40, at which point Republican bulls physically won't let it go any further
0
HDTomo-2297mo ago
2nd poll in a day is crazy Ohio is now rated tilt Democratic in a time when the Dems are underrepresented in polls still This is very underpriced, is it pricing a 52% chance Vivek cures cancer?
0
HDTomo-2297mo ago
Finally... polls!!!!
0
st.pablo8mo ago
groyper war 3 is coming to ohio and its going to be a nuclear holocaust for the GOP
0
yukonboi11mo ago
gib liquidity
0

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Market opened Oct 10, 2025, 7:39 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:16 PM

Market data

24h volume

$228,365

1 week volume

$675,062

1 month volume

$1.1M

1 year volume

$1.7M

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

96.0%

1h change

—

1 week change

+2.00%

1 month change

+10.00%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:: 0x968a1a79e001d49fa3ee1429e3b95eb01797587740f86d4e6becf3ab1b275bfb
Question ID:: 0xe03b9b4a73475aefe5650c97db5b1fa201f70d08e708b9b327398a8096537200

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?" prediction market?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 70.5%, No at 29.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$1.7M in total volume, with $228,365 in the last 24 hours and $411,891 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Nov 4, 2026. The market opened on Oct 13, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.