
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?
Active · Ends Nov 16, 2026
No probability
92.5%
24h change
-5.00%
Total volume
$13,300
Liquidity
$1,897
Price history
Outcomes
Order book
Yes · 45 levels
- 6¢201
- 5¢60
- 3¢61
- 2¢339
- 1¢400
- 9¢87
- 10¢111
- 12¢100
- 15¢8
- 17¢25
- 18¢39
- 20¢55
- 21¢48
No comments on this market yet.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market opened Oct 21, 2026, 5:11 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM
Market data
24h volume
$2,489
1 week volume
$10,174
1 month volume
$13,300
1 year volume
$13,300
Spread
3.00%
Min order
5
Tick size
0.01
Competitiveness
84.7%
1h change
-1.00%
1 week change
-4.50%
1 month change
—
Negative risk
Yes
- Condition ID:
- 0x279291736878dc58d155b4a7be44c71144c41b80e1af6d1f16386311907a5e29
- Question ID:
- 0x6be03582c17f5c394cb39d303f0cefc2086dde90bed7c5b81152028d553f4503
Frequently asked questions
What is the "Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?" prediction market?
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
What are the current odds?
Yes at 7.5%, No at 92.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.
How much trading activity has this market generated?
$13,300 in total volume, with $2,489 in the last 24 hours and $1,897 of liquidity currently available.
When does this market close?
Trading runs until Nov 16, 2026. The market opened on Oct 21, 2026.
How do I trade this market?
Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.
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