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Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?

Active · Ends Nov 9, 2026

Yes probability

70.7%

24h change

+8.95%

Total volume

$12,927

Liquidity

$846

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 270.7%29.3%

Outcomes

Yes70.7%
No29.3%

Order book

Yes · 65 levels
BidsSize
  1. 70¢11
  2. 70¢79
  3. 69¢50
  4. 69¢47
  5. 69¢119
  6. 65¢63
  7. 63¢11
  8. 62¢11
AsksSize
  1. 71¢50
  2. 71¢50
  3. 72¢51
  4. 72¢100
  5. 73¢50
  6. 79¢5
  7. 80¢150
  8. 83¢75

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Market opened Oct 21, 2026, 5:11 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$3,940

1 week volume

$11,940

1 month volume

$12,927

1 year volume

$12,927

Spread

1.10%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

95.9%

1h change

-3.55%

1 week change

+62.25%

1 month change

—

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0x9bcb3623237cf77b61da24f4d3f21fb438c714cbb0e71ebf3a6b89d385f42fe5
Question ID:
0x6be03582c17f5c394cb39d303f0cefc2086dde90bed7c5b81152028d553f4502

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?" prediction market?

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 70.7%, No at 29.3% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$12,927 in total volume, with $3,940 in the last 24 hours and $846 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Nov 9, 2026. The market opened on Oct 21, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.