
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Active · Ends Nov 8, 2028
No probability
85.5%
24h change
-0.70%
Total volume
$13.8M
Liquidity
$297,535
Price history
Outcomes
Order book
Yes · 188 levels
- 14¢779
- 14¢1,710
- 14¢44,477
- 14¢200
- 14¢12,303
- 14¢400
- 14¢220
- 14¢100
- 15¢4,136
- 15¢1,208
- 15¢590
- 15¢200
- 15¢1,396
- 15¢220
- 16¢1,288
- 16¢17,617

ISMS22223d ago
This slimy, fake-ass, skinwalker Gavin Newsom isn’t winning a fucking thing in 2028. Fuck the hype, fuck the political bullshit, and fuck the idea that he’s some inevitable nominee. GO JON OSSOFF! 🇺🇸
1
0xcF7eb75117117c5902cF213c16fea848E72a2808-172245827110216d ago
Who actually has a convincing ground game?
1
t1u221d ago
Debate season will test these prices
0

NotaJoe1mo ago
USA
13

Ulve130kkaikelex1mo ago
Tim Walz odds are shifting fast, 2 shares hold
5
drachenlord17101mo ago
do people sleep on Tim?
7
Tony61Montana1mo ago
Josh Shapiro easy choice: 1) Jewish 2) Wins at Pennsylvania which is a key state for presidency 3) Raised in a US Navy base 4) Old enough not to be inexperienced but also young enough not to be a dinosaur 5) Ex Attorney General of Pennsylvania... 6) Was attacked for being jewish--> In April 2025, Shapiro and his family survived an arson attack at the governor's mansion, hours after holding a Passover Seder. Very easy choice, trading super low for the potential it has.
5

siick25d ago
The democrat party is extremely desperate to win back the elements of the jewish lobby that joined the GOP after Oct 7. They have been getting absolutely murdered in funding ever since. They want moderate to reassure the donors, and a Jewish moderate is even better
1
CKAB1mo ago
Georgia is the Pennsylvania of 2028. It's clearly Ossoff.
1

ISMS22221mo ago
Don’t be scared of something that’s becoming increasingly obvious. Your mind will play tricks on you and make you overthink it, but this guy is the guy. Total package
0
CKAB1mo ago
It won't even matter if they have to give a senate seat to run him because the Dems will have like 55 secure seats at that point from Trump's incompetence and unpopularity.
0

ISMS22221mo ago
History shows that after a chaotic presidency, a steady leader can be exactly what the country wants. Gerald Ford followed Nixon and Watergate. Calvin Coolidge followed an administration engulfed in scandal. Eisenhower followed years of war and political tension under Truman. None was known for daily drama; each offered a calmer style. “Boring” can be a political strength when voters are exhausted. Calm, competent and predictable can sound pretty good after chaos.
0
silurian10d ago
Gerald Ford wasn't elected
0
JoJojO-6901mo ago
A crowded field could help the candidate with the most committed base
0
0xc681414822F6b908ff19461882D518722D891296-17814645986391mo ago
...
0

wantbehappy1mo ago
Kamala Harris not have a change guys why so high?
0
CKAB1mo ago
Because 2020, 2024, and appearing with El-Sayed recently
0
Golmand1mo ago
My crystal ball endorsed absolutely nobody💥
1
Empiotreus1mo ago
Once James Talarico wins Texas, his odds will grow :)
0
CKAB1mo ago
He's not going to run for prez after being a senator for basically 1.5 years max, bro.
1
cocos2281mo ago
@hugewinner buy more
0

Hugewinner1mo ago
why not
1
cocos2281mo ago
i listed yes shares if u wanna buy
0
0xAe8739813B024631B3769E8788464795EE70d629-17764569874931mo ago
Kelly is still obviously underpriced at 3 cents.
1
snimuslivo4ki1mo ago
we need 40 cent yes?
0
MaxShorter1mo ago
Taking a position on Kamala harris ~ 8c, got limits through 7 and will add as we get closer to 2028. Thesis: Kamala is leading on virtually every 2028 poll, market consensus is that her lead will narrow as we get closer and other nominess get exposure, but I don't think thats the case. Firstly, the dems field is terrible, the nomination is there for the taking but nobody stands out. Newsom is uninspiring, AOC is a liability, Ossoff is closest but he’s not bridging the gap enough to the left as I’d like. Secondly, Kamala has the credibility, donor machine, and is most prepared for a presidential campaign. The biggest elephant in the room is that she lost 2024 and nobody will trust her again, but she was up against the greatest political machine of our generation - MAGA. Trump will not be running in 28, the likely opp is Vance or Rubio and neither have the strength or credibility that trump did last election
1
MaxShorter1mo ago
I remember vividly in 21 trump odds of winning the 2024 nominee were trading below 2c. The odds off the presidency much lower Everyone thought he was done after January 6th, impossible they said . The market had fatigue and bet on desantis and Hayley. He led all the polls, market didn’t care. Then he announced, yet price barely reacted , then he beat all the cases, and they finally fell in line. Then he won it all I feel similar fatigue is present with Kamala, the market desperately want someone new but the gods won’t give it. History often doesn’t repeat but it usually rhymes
1
0xAe8739813B024631B3769E8788464795EE70d629-17764569874931mo ago
She had her shot. Very unlikely she gets another. "the dems field is terrible" well you're entitled to your opinion, but I don't think the democractic voters think so. Frankly, I suspect a lot of people will be hesitant to nominate a woman again in this cycle, fair or not.
1
CKAB1mo ago
The polls are meaningless right now and she's only leading in them because of inertia.
0
CKAB1mo ago
They'd be right to. America still is not ready for a woman president.
0

mrtrump1mo ago
donors want a white male
3
bananajamsamin1mo ago
are you shure?
0

ocpna1mo ago
AES?
0

crypto-basenji1mo ago
I locked in Ossof because I know how dumb are leftists and they will choose that moron
1
CKAB1mo ago
Ossoff owns
0

ISMS22222mo ago
Keep an eye on Jon Ossoff after November. • $42M Senate war chest — federal money that can potentially move into a presidential campaign after Georgia. • ~90% of his current ad budget reportedly running outside Georgia. • Spending only $5–6M/month while reportedly bringing in more than he’s spending. • Gavin Newsom can’t simply transfer his California state campaign war chest into a federal presidential campaign. • Mark Kelly sits behind Ossoff at roughly $26M in federal cash. And here’s the interesting part: 📊 Ossoff’s presidential odds relative to his Democratic-nomination odds imply roughly a 70% chance of winning the presidency IF he becomes the nominee — stronger than the comparable implied number for the other candidates. $42M. National advertising. Positive cash flow. Maybe it’s all about Georgia. Maybe.
1
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market opened Jul 3, 2025, 8:37 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:10 PM
Market data
24h volume
$134,740
1 week volume
$181,707
1 month volume
$515,643
1 year volume
$12.2M
Spread
0.10%
Min order
5
Tick size
0.001
Competitiveness
88.8%
1h change
—
1 week change
-0.10%
1 month change
-0.90%
Negative risk
Yes
- Condition ID:
- 0x74dba1ce1ae9dd535414e85f2d9ab5ea32c0fb1acc9b7130b67e6d91217e24e1
- Question ID:
- 0x2c3d7e0eee6f058be3006baabf0d54a07da254ba47fe6e3e095e7990c7814709
Frequently asked questions
What is the "Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?" prediction market?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
What are the current odds?
Yes at 14.5%, No at 85.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.
How much trading activity has this market generated?
$13.8M in total volume, with $134,740 in the last 24 hours and $297,535 of liquidity currently available.
When does this market close?
Trading runs until Nov 8, 2028. The market opened on Jul 11, 2025.
How do I trade this market?
Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.
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