Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Yes probability

83.5%

24h change

+12.50%

Total volume

$27,773

Liquidity

$4,122

Price history

YesNo

Outcomes

Yes83.5%

No16.5%

betjunkie1d ago
Navier stokes was already near solution, and the critical pieces of the puzzle had been discovered by mathematicians. This does not hold for the rest of the problems so that they can be solved by brute force in 88 hours.
0
GammaSqueeze12341d ago
the only scenario where I lose is a scenario where the loss is meaningless relative to the magnitude of what just happened
0
handycap1d ago
Yes betters are bullish for either human extinction or post-scarcity AI utopia. You're not going to need USDT for either of those, buddy.
0
betjunkie6d ago
Stupid AI hype. The solution is not verified.
1

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used OpenAI's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market opened Sep 9, 2026, 3:59 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:08 PM

Market data

24h volume

$7,673

1 week volume

$20,330

1 month volume

$27,775

1 year volume

$27,775

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

89.9%

1h change

—

1 week change

-6.00%

1 month change

—

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:: 0x80ae98ffc8aba2c15dbdc9efa0ed2188929daa6300720765f6337d60632f8e15
Question ID:: 0x1fbb019675bb2fe9883334a8d585a1c9605d21102a37c6e7e8b56681fcf306f2

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used OpenAI's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 83.5%, No at 16.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$27,773 in total volume, with $7,673 in the last 24 hours and $4,122 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2028. The market opened on Sep 9, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.