Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Active · Ends Nov 30, 2026

Yes probability

96.9%

24h change

+1.40%

Total volume

$177,177

Liquidity

$21,382

Price history

YesNo

Outcomes

Yes96.9%

No3.1%

Doodlebob005d ago
Litterally free money
0
aljarreau5d ago
roughly 500.000 ballots of soldiers / displaced people are still outstanding. ra'am does not perform well here. its unlikely, but possible that they get one seat demoted down to 6 seats. the odds as of now make sense.
1
noland15d ago
it all depends on how many more votes ra'am gets compared to the other 7 seat parties, because there just is no way in hell they're getting many of those 400-500k votes
0
aljarreau4d ago
so far theyre getting 2.6%. but they performed so well in the late regular ballots that 7 seats are secured already. now they even have a slim chance at 8 seats. but no matter which way, definitely not "free money" as the first guy claimed
1
Doodlebob005d ago
It’s confirmed by the Israeli election website that they have 7 seats
0

Rules

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

Market opened Sep 4, 2026, 10:14 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:12 PM

Market data

24h volume

$21,174

1 week volume

$173,888

1 month volume

$176,237

1 year volume

$177,177

Spread

1.40%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

82.0%

1h change

-0.05%

1 week change

+92.20%

1 month change

+92.45%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:: 0xd7788f99870e1139c4afdb8c761259adb7c7790f1ce620089f7ac68b86e2f09b
Question ID:: 0x36977bbae86e801e712f26421bbb5166ba26b208707f6bcd86d136c7319ec105

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?" prediction market?

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

What are the current odds?

Yes at 96.9%, No at 3.1% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$177,177 in total volume, with $21,174 in the last 24 hours and $21,382 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Nov 30, 2026. The market opened on Sep 4, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.