Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

97.0%

24h change

-0.25%

Total volume

$8,137

Liquidity

$10,288

Price history

YesNo

Outcomes

Yes2.9%

No97.0%

Order book

Yes · 55 levels

BidsSize

1¢150
1¢306
1¢150
1¢631
0¢1,000
0¢347
0¢2,606
0¢6,612

AsksSize

5¢21
5¢105
5¢20
6¢60
7¢5
7¢21
13¢182
14¢160

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market opened Aug 7, 2026, 12:16 AM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:16 PM

Market data

24h volume

$1,416

1 week volume

$5,674

1 month volume

$6,657

1 year volume

$8,137

Spread

3.90%

Min order

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

81.9%

1h change

-0.05%

1 week change

+2.75%

1 month change

+2.70%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:: 0x2767f1d61a14589ac2734d4816db07ee6ac93dae0bb88e19e1c4397bb1d9a60f
Question ID:: 0xbc61afc46a56047818b73e1500123335d5d40fd7dadc4270ef4997b60d87bb06

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?" prediction market?

What are the current odds?

Yes at 2.9%, No at 97.0% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$8,137 in total volume, with $1,416 in the last 24 hours and $10,288 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Aug 7, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.