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Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?

Active · Ends Dec 31, 2026

No probability

83.5%

24h change

-2.50%

Total volume

$12,535

Liquidity

$7,911

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 216.5%83.5%

Outcomes

Yes16.5%
No83.5%

Order book

Yes · 44 levels
BidsSize
  1. 16¢158
  2. 15¢212
  3. 14¢225
  4. 13¢80
  5. 9¢10
  6. 7¢71
  7. 6¢183
  8. 5¢100
AsksSize
  1. 17¢60
  2. 18¢117
  3. 19¢29
  4. 21¢40
  5. 22¢20
  6. 24¢20
  7. 26¢3
  8. 43¢20

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

Market opened Aug 5, 2026, 11:52 AM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$1,975

1 week volume

$3,164

1 month volume

$8,018

1 year volume

$12,535

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

89.9%

1h change

—

1 week change

-6.50%

1 month change

-7.00%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0xc2c6515345d1753e0a2b724a59f9f15ba9f9fa420eca0771b52dbcdac9b084e2
Question ID:
0x2c353b66b4d724fb77146cdb6eb0b720ee5b984c30a061d84605cf4f70ecb304

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?" prediction market?

This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 16.5%, No at 83.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$12,535 in total volume, with $1,975 in the last 24 hours and $7,911 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Dec 31, 2026. The market opened on Aug 5, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.