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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Active · Ends Dec 9, 2026

No probability

68.5%

24h change

+1.00%

Total volume

$206,490

Liquidity

$141,408

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 15Sep 1831.5%68.5%

Outcomes

Yes31.5%
No68.5%

Order book

Yes · 66 levels
BidsSize
  1. 31¢2,345
  2. 30¢9,105
  3. 29¢20,185
  4. 28¢25,353
  5. 27¢833
  6. 26¢200
  7. 25¢4,557
  8. 24¢250
AsksSize
  1. 32¢20,841
  2. 33¢6,941
  3. 34¢23,885
  4. 35¢14,861
  5. 36¢4,812
  6. 37¢3,887
  7. 38¢3,353
  8. 39¢5,000

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Market opened Jul 30, 2026, 12:36 AM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:08 PM

Market data

24h volume

$10,768

1 week volume

$87,470

1 month volume

$167,856

1 year volume

$206,490

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

96.7%

1h change

1 week change

-3.00%

1 month change

-35.00%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0x723822eb2b143cee54c0bd7c1efba322b21f0051984c266df8879c394f1011c0
Question ID:
0xa74f5328517db0e030a5e62edc800e37bd36ca6e455571b14e8bb2b0dd38d702

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?" prediction market?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 31.5%, No at 68.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$206,490 in total volume, with $10,768 in the last 24 hours and $141,408 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Dec 9, 2026. The market opened on Jul 30, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.