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Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Yes probability

67.5%

24h change

+0.65%

Total volume

$97,916

Liquidity

$6,065

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 267.5%32.5%

Outcomes

Yes67.5%
No32.5%

Order book

Yes · 91 levels
BidsSize
  1. 67¢6
  2. 67¢30
  3. 67¢100
  4. 66¢50
  5. 66¢301
  6. 66¢80
  7. 66¢211
  8. 66¢100
AsksSize
  1. 69¢154
  2. 69¢106
  3. 69¢372
  4. 69¢150
  5. 70¢56
  6. 71¢9
  7. 72¢50
  8. 77¢52

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

Market opened Jun 26, 2026, 9:49 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:16 PM

Market data

24h volume

$880

1 week volume

$15,876

1 month volume

$52,925

1 year volume

$97,916

Spread

2.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

97.0%

1h change

-0.05%

1 week change

+14.60%

1 month change

+10.65%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0x9438a0543ab229bab611313d082d3c184bdf114d3a8d787908f87bc79d3c2af7
Question ID:
0x56146a2f5b67d46d06fb42f6153a11ad5c52109e82c598ea5b16c558b2539507

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?" prediction market?

This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 67.5%, No at 32.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$97,916 in total volume, with $880 in the last 24 hours and $6,065 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2028. The market opened on Jun 26, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.