
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Active · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Yes probability
95.3%
24h change
+3.90%
Total volume
$40,965
Liquidity
$2,735
Price history
Outcomes
Order book
Yes · 54 levels
- 95¢67
- 94¢50
- 94¢50
- 94¢50
- 94¢150
- 94¢100
- 92¢50
- 74¢50
- 96¢61
- 96¢50
- 96¢374
- 96¢50
- 96¢100
- 97¢150
- 98¢127
- 98¢1,151

Onswaggie5mo ago
Both MS and GS wil be heavily involved but MS will be the lead.
0
Rules
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market opened Jun 1, 2026, 6:35 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:16 PM
Market data
24h volume
$1,332
1 week volume
$9,823
1 month volume
$27,425
1 year volume
$40,965
Spread
1.00%
Min order
5
Tick size
0.001
Competitiveness
83.0%
1h change
-0.35%
1 week change
+3.65%
1 month change
+83.15%
Negative risk
Yes
- Condition ID:
- 0x27dcf3218163c07c9509240174f145ec03631f5598ad8d216fa369878b94fbd8
- Question ID:
- 0x6ab755fcf031457c711a2523d329e615dcff8dbd24030563ff9a50e5df380e01
Frequently asked questions
What is the "Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?" prediction market?
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What are the current odds?
Yes at 95.3%, No at 4.7% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.
How much trading activity has this market generated?
$40,965 in total volume, with $1,332 in the last 24 hours and $2,735 of liquidity currently available.
When does this market close?
Trading runs until Jan 1, 2028. The market opened on Jun 1, 2026.
How do I trade this market?
Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.
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