Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

86.5%

24h change

-7.50%

Total volume

$2.3M

Liquidity

$99,639

Price history

YesNo

Outcomes

Yes13.5%

No86.5%

ThanksGivingTurkey10011mo ago
resolve that shii
1
ThanksGivingTurkey10011mo ago
resolve
0
ithinkthisisgod1mo ago
matter of time
0
jjjjok66661mo ago
agree
0
BondSeeker1mo ago
Sure Peneldo fan ;)
1
ThanksGivingTurkey10011mo ago
based
0
AXIOSinsider1mo ago
tick tock tick tock :(
2
luansha1781mo ago
直接就是，大暴涨，你无法想象！！
0
juliavivsiuk2mo ago
why only this dates?
0
hyper-liquid-xyz2mo ago
US Treasury Secretary Bessent acts surprised as to why Trump's "Economic D-Day" announcement didn't crash oil prices as he hoped for. Well the market knows actions speak louder than words after hearing the same shit over and over again! Maybe if you raise rates to 10% then oil will crash however economy will crash!
0
hyper-liquid-xyz2mo ago
US export ban will send WTI falling like crazy however will ensure global recession.
0
ThanksGivingTurkey10012mo ago
bond good
3
NoSteinNoGate2mo ago
Its not a bond
0
0xc6e1926FDb49F824E62E24f5434da966bA3e3b95-17241060617242mo ago
It is, 12% free
0
ThanksGivingTurkey10012mo ago
chad
0
BondSeeker1mo ago
Free money
0
hyper-liquid-xyz3mo ago
They have WTI but why not Brent? IMO Brent should have been added at the start of the Iran war, and it has high interest since rest of world uses it.
2
hyper-liquid-xyz3mo ago
August oil market - event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-august-2026
0
pink.impala4mo ago
Fact: Three Austrailian citizens got executed in Malaysia last year for playing with wearher-bots.
5
EnzoTheUser3mo ago
Malaysia has not carried out any executions since 2017
0
pink.impala3mo ago
yeh plus i cant even spell right i wish this stupid post could just go away
0
pink.impala3mo ago
my mentor once told me to only comment in fast chats but i just didnt listen
0
Mudd885mo ago
Good thing we have pattern recognition and foresight. That = shekels homies
1
gimmedamoney4mo ago
How’s that working out for you mate
2
Mudd885mo ago
We gone be rish. The entire infrastructure is coming to a grinding hault.
4
Reidd5mo ago
This is free money
2
2323232326mo ago
Spetember is pretty likely, especially if hormuz stays shut
3

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.

Market opened Apr 30, 2026, 5:07 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$73,873

1 week volume

$190,225

1 month volume

$669,433

1 year volume

$2.3M

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

88.2%

1h change

—

1 week change

—

1 month change

+3.00%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:: 0x8a5c0b5fc339f2dbaf584def66bcf8bff94d91f0250562e452782fed3d18f821
Question ID:: 0x57db459ea08f2eb87bd75af1b097998cec8925698a11dbd764055aa30dd60701

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 13.5%, No at 86.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$2.3M in total volume, with $73,873 in the last 24 hours and $99,639 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Apr 30, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.