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Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

88.5%

24h change

-3.00%

Total volume

$1.3M

Liquidity

$88,571

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 15Sep 1811.5%88.5%

Outcomes

Yes11.5%
No88.5%

Order book

Yes · 53 levels
BidsSize
  1. 11¢18,098
  2. 10¢4,832
  3. 9¢2,469
  4. 8¢7,938
  5. 7¢5,230
  6. 6¢6,853
  7. 5¢8,398
  8. 4¢9,421
AsksSize
  1. 12¢2,608
  2. 13¢8,685
  3. 14¢2,099
  4. 15¢846
  5. 16¢264
  6. 17¢778
  7. 18¢700
  8. 19¢719
  • ithinkthisisgod4d ago

    matter of time

    0

  • jjjjok66662d ago

    agree

    0

  • BondSeeker1d ago

    Sure Peneldo fan ;)

    1

  • AXIOSinsider7d ago

    tick tock tick tock :(

    0

  • luansha17812d ago

    直接就是,大暴涨,你无法想象!!

    0

  • juliavivsiuk17d ago

    why only this dates?

    0

  • hyper-liquid-xyz28d ago

    US Treasury Secretary Bessent acts surprised as to why Trump's "Economic D-Day" announcement didn't crash oil prices as he hoped for. Well the market knows actions speak louder than words after hearing the same shit over and over again! Maybe if you raise rates to 10% then oil will crash however economy will crash!

    0

  • hyper-liquid-xyz1mo ago

    US export ban will send WTI falling like crazy however will ensure global recession.

    0

  • ThanksGivingTurkey10011mo ago

    bond good

    3

  • NoSteinNoGate1mo ago

    Its not a bond

    0

  • 0xc6e1926FDb49F824E62E24f5434da966bA3e3b95-172410606172423d ago

    It is, 12% free

    0

  • ThanksGivingTurkey100123d ago

    chad

    0

  • BondSeeker7d ago

    Free money

    0

  • hyper-liquid-xyz1mo ago

    They have WTI but why not Brent? IMO Brent should have been added at the start of the Iran war, and it has high interest since rest of world uses it.

    2

  • hyper-liquid-xyz1mo ago

    August oil market - event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-august-2026

    0

  • pink.impala2mo ago

    Fact: Three Austrailian citizens got executed in Malaysia last year for playing with wearher-bots.

    5

  • EnzoTheUser1mo ago

    Malaysia has not carried out any executions since 2017

    0

  • pink.impala1mo ago

    yeh plus i cant even spell right i wish this stupid post could just go away

    0

  • pink.impala1mo ago

    my mentor once told me to only comment in fast chats but i just didnt listen

    0

  • Mudd883mo ago

    Good thing we have pattern recognition and foresight. That = shekels homies

    1

  • gimmedamoney3mo ago

    How’s that working out for you mate

    2

  • Mudd883mo ago

    We gone be rish. The entire infrastructure is coming to a grinding hault.

    3

  • Reidd4mo ago

    This is free money

    2

  • 2323232324mo ago

    Spetember is pretty likely, especially if hormuz stays shut

    3

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.

Market opened Apr 30, 2026, 5:07 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:10 PM

Market data

24h volume

$40,644

1 week volume

$120,679

1 month volume

$551,391

1 year volume

$1.3M

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

87.1%

1h change

1 week change

-1.50%

1 month change

-2.00%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x8a5c0b5fc339f2dbaf584def66bcf8bff94d91f0250562e452782fed3d18f821
Question ID:
0x57db459ea08f2eb87bd75af1b097998cec8925698a11dbd764055aa30dd60701

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 11.5%, No at 88.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$1.3M in total volume, with $40,644 in the last 24 hours and $88,571 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Apr 30, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.