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Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

92.5%

24h change

-1.00%

Total volume

$5.3M

Liquidity

$152,497

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 27.5%92.5%

Outcomes

Yes7.5%
No92.5%

Order book

Yes · 78 levels
BidsSize
  1. 7¢42,515
  2. 6¢57,625
  3. 5¢2,450
  4. 4¢57,389
  5. 3¢56,971
  6. 2¢103,583
  7. 1¢1,069,620
AsksSize
  1. 8¢13,843
  2. 9¢18,902
  3. 10¢175
  4. 11¢491
  5. 12¢35
  6. 13¢50
  7. 14¢1,006
  8. 15¢75

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market opened Feb 5, 2026, 2:44 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$24,732

1 week volume

$205,422

1 month volume

$1.2M

1 year volume

$5.3M

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

84.7%

1h change

—

1 week change

—

1 month change

+1.00%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0xce3c54c3e773e8b3bf73e4c12af93205b21195d03b9c386e22f274b9acfc2c56
Question ID:
0xf280d98953f42a49b15773353ec7ce1569d61c0fce1101d7d2e6b1033029e1aa

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?" prediction market?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 7.5%, No at 92.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$5.3M in total volume, with $24,732 in the last 24 hours and $152,497 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Feb 5, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.