Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Active · Ends Dec 31, 2026

No probability

99.9%

24h change

-0.55%

Total volume

$693,801

Liquidity

$66,721

Price history

YesNo

Outcomes

Yes0.1%

No99.9%

Vyt06irneeth1d ago
who can help me with strategies?
0
Kamirnornore62n1d ago
u саn rеаd how sebuzi3x wоn his 1st mil with bеts on роly. find his аrticlе
0
Vyt06irneeth1d ago
i find stunvо. Thеy havе rеаlly gоod mеthоds, I wоn a sоmе
0
DontDonk3d ago
HL pre-IPO valuation perps, $1 of index price equals $1 Billion of implied valuation. At ~$1,812, the contract reflects an implied market cap of ~$1.812 Trillion
1
ThanksGivingTurkey10016d ago
very good surprise , anthropic trading at 16.95B shares x 115 $ = 1,955T on HL premarket. seems like a 50/50
0
no1yet12d ago
SpaceX - stay strong, fellas!
2
ThanksGivingTurkey10017d ago
you will make it buddy, congrats
1
altdel17d ago
Don't bet against Elon
1
ThanksGivingTurkey100123d ago
dead ahh market
0
altdel18d ago
bro, take your profits while you still can.
1
clazzy11mo ago
What if they dont IPO?
2
altdel1mo ago
There’s no “if” for degens.
3
ctre1mo ago
should be at 70
0
Pump1mo ago
95
0
ThanksGivingTurkey10012mo ago
From 1,11t to 1,25t mcap in private for anthropic within 10days. Let’s go
1
altdel2mo ago
Don’t forget to sell before it’s too late.
1
no1yet2mo ago
AI is a massive trend, no doubt. But SpaceX has been built over two decades. It’s more than just rockets and spacecraft: Starlink, xAI (Grok), X, and massive AI infrastructure.
5
ThanksGivingTurkey10012mo ago
dont under estimate anthropic growth. but i got u, id also cope if i was on the verge of becoming a 1001th day thanksgiving turkey
0
no1yet2mo ago
It’s all good, man. The bets are in.
1
LordProtector2mo ago
SpaceX: ~$30–35B Revenue in 2026, ~+50–90% growth. Anthropic: ~$65B+ ARR, ~+620% growth.
2
r-x-c2mo ago
I don't think anthropic can surpass SPCX
3
ThanksGivingTurkey10012mo ago
bruh 1,18T$ fdv in private already. Not ready
1
Asahiko2mo ago
SPCX has many narrative an enormous fan base and had time to get sell the dream, anthropic (heavy usuer here) still not at all an equivalent community, also all other Frontier labs at least on the public. (accessible) models have more or less catch up, I can see the 2.T headings not more and will prob be 1.5
4
ThanksGivingTurkey10012mo ago
1.25t in private
0
ThanksGivingTurkey10012mo ago
anthropic has to close above 2.11 trillions $ to surpass space x, easily doable if the IPO starts at 2t, this should be at 70 c yes
0
altdel2mo ago
The market is overreacting. They could still reschedule the IPO for 2027, especially with the rate hikes and uncertainty around Iran.
2
Probs2mo ago
The other polymatket for whether Anthropic IPOs this year is at 80%
1
ThanksGivingTurkey10012mo ago
Btw mcap to beat : 2,11 t$
1
schizohedgehog2mo ago
FT Report = A story of no story!!!
2
ThanksGivingTurkey10012mo ago
thats brazy
0
gjrdjldkf3mo ago
Elon Musk
2
mdslkvndfl3mo ago
SpaceX 😃
3
mnvlkdfvhldf3mo ago
Elon Musk is one of my idols that I admire the most.
2
SIMOMEGA3mo ago
what are these "x i adore the most" even trying to achieve
1
SIMOMEGA3mo ago
on second thought, probably js trying to pump the prices? not that it matters though, since realistically SpaceX isnt gna lose anyway
0
fghj876544mo ago
open ai
2
denizaltin4194mo ago
i am not interested in OpenAI or Discord at current prices
1
SIMOMEGA3mo ago
why should we care
0

Rules

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Market opened Feb 2, 2026, 8:04 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:16 PM

Market data

24h volume

$15,533

1 week volume

$103,756

1 month volume

$116,748

1 year volume

$693,801

Spread

0.10%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

80.1%

1h change

-0.10%

1 week change

-0.30%

1 month change

-0.60%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:: 0xf6210b4f655793c713cdf81f94d072aee409c232b23162501077e603694c6762
Question ID:: 0x4ca863cbfdb98cc28e6a6de05377045bf2b42c2e926f3a1021fcb84c7755e401

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 0.1%, No at 99.9% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$693,801 in total volume, with $15,533 in the last 24 hours and $66,721 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Dec 31, 2026. The market opened on Feb 2, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.