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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

97.4%

24h change

-0.50%

Total volume

$24.8M

Liquidity

$141,702

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 22.6%97.4%

Outcomes

Yes2.6%
No97.4%

Order book

Yes · 161 levels
BidsSize
  1. 3¢7,393
  2. 3¢957
  3. 2¢251
  4. 2¢200
  5. 2¢759
  6. 2¢4,117
  7. 2¢546
  8. 2¢230
AsksSize
  1. 3¢2,409
  2. 3¢102
  3. 3¢5,405
  4. 3¢10,480
  5. 3¢2,887
  6. 3¢6,658
  7. 3¢307
  8. 4¢212

  • CryptoBankrupt7h ago

    Only impeaching Trump can push the Clarity Act through. There’s no other way. Trump’s the only thing blocking progress - or really, his greed and his itch to rob even more people. I lost all my savings on two American ICOs (Rentberry, Soveren inc - ex Insolar), and it’s all thanks to Trump🤡

    0

  • TruongMyLan19d ago

    Trump, you can do it, I believe in you!

    0

  • 4326d ago

    why are you sellin dear

    0

  • elprincipe1mo ago

    someone up?

    2

  • cam18echo1mo ago

    surprise for me

    10

  • Yeshua9991mo ago

    The clarity act is a dead deal and is not happening this year. That's a definitely a NO, wouldn't this bidding be closed then?

    12

  • SIMOMEGA26d ago

    the deadline is Dec 31 2026, read the rules..

    0

  • WatchTheTape1mo ago

    not happening

    10

  • sadqc.deroy1mo ago

    just a dead cat bounce

    12

  • art-0311mo ago

    Remember the whole Bitcoin ETF approval circus? First, the SEC’s Twitter account announced the approval. Then Gary Gensler said the account had been hacked. And shortly afterward, the ETFs were officially approved anyway. The whole “hack” story looked staged to me. I’m convinced something similar will happen here, and everyone betting “No” is going to get wrecked.

    12

  • enrico-vasaio1mo ago

    smart

    7

  • Sigma16341mo ago

    keep coping

    5

  • SIMOMEGA1mo ago

    ure on yes too bruh

    0

  • moneymakingmachine1mo ago

    there's a reason domer, aenews, and dropper are all buying YES

    9

  • meagainsttheworld1mo ago

    They could've passed if it had been called the PNUT Clarity Act

    7

  • 0x9344c1c37b1BFDFAcA8BeD218C0a59252871388f-17862870892151mo ago

    They could fix it and sign afterwards, 3+ months left still;)

    6

  • Sigma16341mo ago

    its over

    2

  • crim261mo ago

    no its not bro stfu

    0

  • Sigma16341mo ago

    keep coping, we are doomed!

    0

  • WatchTheTape1mo ago

    YES BUYERS ara hopeless

    4

  • SIMOMEGA1mo ago

    why are u on yes then?

    0

  • 0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-17706655985571mo ago

    They didn't even get 50 votes...

    4

  • MrPresidentPoopyPants1mo ago

    fck boomers

    3

  • KyroKennn1mo ago

    they are reconsidering the votes

    4

  • Sigma16341mo ago

    its over bro, but keep coping ig

    2

  • crim261mo ago

    holy shit dude

    2

  • SIMOMEGA1mo ago

    why u on yes then? lmao

    0

  • crim261mo ago

    everyone listen its not over we still have 3 more months take this as a example remember when the iran war thing and it was a 0.1% of happening and it did thsi has a 50x that now dont give up its gonna go up and pass dont give up people

    4

  • 0x3A8e038BE00862CA08BC14F475022c4607B96Dd0-17657430281241mo ago

    Yeah....good luck with that in an election year where Republicans are projected to lose even more votes

    1

  • 0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-17706655985571mo ago

    Why do you remember 1 example when 1% turned into 100% and not 10000 examples when it turned to 0?

    1

  • GammaSqueeze12341mo ago

    not through lame duck dawg

    0

  • 2951mo ago

    hahaahahahha

    2

  • tradersecret1mo ago

    100% NO

    2

  • 0x3A8e038BE00862CA08BC14F475022c4607B96Dd0-17657430281241mo ago

    LoL they cant even get everyone in their party on board

    2

  • Asphalt1mo ago

    It’s over bro

    2

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Market opened Jan 11, 2026, 11:21 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:13 PM

Market data

24h volume

$26,980

1 week volume

$191,447

1 month volume

$1.4M

1 year volume

$24.8M

Spread

0.10%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

81.7%

1h change

—

1 week change

-1.60%

1 month change

-2.40%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390
Question ID:
0x859d580150b69785c30b4cde7187029368bc289ea4b197bbd81955991e6e68b0

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 2.6%, No at 97.4% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$24.8M in total volume, with $26,980 in the last 24 hours and $141,702 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Jan 11, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.

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