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Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Yes probability

72.9%

24h change

+3.05%

Total volume

$50,829

Liquidity

$645

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 30Nov 272.9%27.2%

Outcomes

Yes72.9%
No27.2%

Order book

Yes · 45 levels
BidsSize
  1. 65¢4
  2. 54¢14
  3. 54¢11
  4. 54¢10
  5. 10¢39
  6. 10¢91
  7. 10¢480
  8. 10¢800
AsksSize
  1. 81¢26
  2. 83¢51
  3. 83¢40
  4. 83¢25
  5. 87¢95
  6. 87¢25
  7. 88¢25
  8. 89¢5

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Market opened Jan 7, 2026, 9:37 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 10:16 PM

Market data

24h volume

$265

1 week volume

$436

1 month volume

$530

1 year volume

$50,829

Spread

16.70%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

95.0%

1h change

—

1 week change

+3.05%

1 month change

-5.40%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0xdf246fb418f8f1ab06eab9b1c0e2c6e9bef099f18b8fb74c3eceffbd7410413d
Question ID:
0x8499d554f37681143da8ef941a439c1331efabdc68e56fc05c50e69b2981cb03

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?" prediction market?

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 72.9%, No at 27.2% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$50,829 in total volume, with $265 in the last 24 hours and $645 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Jan 16, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.

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