Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

94.5%

24h change

-2.00%

Total volume

$7.6M

Liquidity

$362,977

Price history

YesNo

Outcomes

Yes5.5%

No94.5%

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market opened Nov 24, 2025, 6:55 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 11:24 AM

Market data

24h volume

$229,082

1 week volume

$836,308

1 month volume

$2.8M

1 year volume

$7.6M

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

83.5%

1h change

—

1 week change

-3.00%

1 month change

-16.00%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:: 0x024b68f77bfc019341ee3db8f57c103334e4b9430bba4746d8c94aafd8b36fee
Question ID:: 0x3de7bd315c034c3d4bbcaa2733005af5b8c24d6560ae1b5ba216513c21f725ba

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?" prediction market?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 5.5%, No at 94.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$7.6M in total volume, with $229,082 in the last 24 hours and $362,977 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Nov 24, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.