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Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

83.5%

24h change

-1.00%

Total volume

$6.1M

Liquidity

$206,105

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 15Sep 1816.5%83.5%

Outcomes

Yes16.5%
No83.5%

Order book

Yes · 88 levels
BidsSize
  1. 16¢1,180
  2. 15¢12,822
  3. 14¢351
  4. 13¢7,312
  5. 12¢1,311
  6. 11¢3,201
  7. 10¢3,653
  8. 9¢6,142
AsksSize
  1. 17¢814
  2. 18¢15,510
  3. 19¢8,777
  4. 20¢10,348
  5. 21¢3,147
  6. 22¢3,996
  7. 23¢3,106
  8. 24¢23,317

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market opened Nov 24, 2025, 6:55 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:08 PM

Market data

24h volume

$31,834

1 week volume

$87,657

1 month volume

$995,987

1 year volume

$6.1M

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

89.9%

1h change

1 week change

-5.50%

1 month change

-37.00%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x752fa61c93f16c4b15e85b0bd438d9c684176b0ea7b319a84c8aca34616e8a8c
Question ID:
0x4e87c74fb6f78745c9094d0f62dd1cba1c3d5f53e279b599c01e12e403ebb1fd

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?" prediction market?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 16.5%, No at 83.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$6.1M in total volume, with $31,834 in the last 24 hours and $206,105 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Nov 24, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.