Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2027

No probability

97.3%

24h change

-1.20%

Total volume

$230,811

Liquidity

$28,085

Price history

YesNo

Outcomes

Yes2.7%

No97.3%

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.

Market opened Nov 11, 2025, 7:57 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:12 PM

Market data

24h volume

$8,067

1 week volume

$21,025

1 month volume

$91,327

1 year volume

$230,811

Spread

1.60%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

81.7%

1h change

-0.05%

1 week change

-4.45%

1 month change

-4.80%

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:: 0x93a3b80b1fb485057add882b55d12011ea011fedd9abededad86ac6cb53a2802
Question ID:: 0x4fea2b2e3851023c656582e95a4537a9c6a2e5f5c46edeb9e3770356523db699

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 2.7%, No at 97.3% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$230,811 in total volume, with $8,067 in the last 24 hours and $28,085 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2027. The market opened on Nov 12, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.