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Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Active · Ends Dec 31, 2026

No probability

99.9%

24h change

Total volume

$908,645

Liquidity

$330,854

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 15Sep 180.1%99.9%

Outcomes

Yes0.1%
No99.9%

Order book

Yes · 116 levels
BidsSize
  1. 0¢26,898
AsksSize
  1. 0¢116,583
  2. 0¢22,824
  3. 0¢34,491
  4. 1¢5,833
  5. 1¢10,446
  6. 1¢13,589
  7. 1¢3,069
  8. 1¢5,178

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market opened Nov 11, 2025, 5:42 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:10 PM

Market data

24h volume

$3,520

1 week volume

$14,373

1 month volume

$218,522

1 year volume

$908,645

Spread

0.10%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

80.1%

1h change

1 week change

1 month change

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0x1f403ffb53e114cbc81c5f07a0f3971886c67b67af7c260f0117d3f63ba54af4
Question ID:
0xd1dae9b7a4d2dc2ee926122b07bde454e05943d4ba9c9b4e0ebf4da9da4aa704

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 0.1%, No at 99.9% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$908,645 in total volume, with $3,520 in the last 24 hours and $330,854 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Dec 31, 2026. The market opened on Nov 12, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.