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Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Active · Ends Dec 31, 2026

No probability

63.1%

24h change

-0.90%

Total volume

$1.7M

Liquidity

$167,278

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 15Sep 1836.9%63.1%

Outcomes

Yes36.9%
No63.1%

Order book

Yes · 184 levels
BidsSize
  1. 37¢78
  2. 37¢10
  3. 36¢1,700
  4. 36¢4,148
  5. 36¢100
  6. 36¢206
  7. 36¢70
  8. 35¢1,154
AsksSize
  1. 37¢732
  2. 37¢70
  3. 37¢5
  4. 38¢10
  5. 38¢906
  6. 38¢4,965
  7. 38¢10
  8. 38¢10

  • extractive-manatee12h ago

    Our proprietary clavicular index is heavily leaning in Nithya Raman's favor at a score of 5.2 compared to a dismal 2.1 of Karen Bass. "Karen bass is unlikely to win with a recessed maxilla and over accentuated orbitals. Nithya Raman heavily mogs Karen Bass by a significant margin with impressively symmetrical facial features"

    4

  • SheepToken15m ago

    What's the margin of mogging error and have we accounted for mail-in mewing?

    0

  • Magician53422d ago

    Probably Katie Wilson 2.0 if elected. Such a horrible candidate.

    0

  • SheepToken1mo ago

    I bought Raman because I like raw men

    5

  • Tomas777725d ago

    Nithya Raman :)

    0

  • studmuffin69691mo ago

    THere was a fake poll or something?

    0

  • AnEggplant1mo ago

    All polls are fake

    0

  • AnEggplant1mo ago

    So what was that stupid pump all about anyway?

    0

  • 0xe311b2582Bab169F88bE616212E99C473f1bC119-17792531390941mo ago

    为什么没有小唐

    0

  • FOV4XC92mo ago

    no

    1

  • AnEggplant2mo ago

    yes

    2

  • 0xdb7b363eCBbdD348CbBb23bB81a43F6e9942c5e1-17745485796732mo ago

    no risk no reward

    0

  • HowlingPup2mo ago

    But gauranteed losses....

    0

  • NovaHelix2mo ago

    Why won't polymarket pay Pratt N out?

    0

  • mamamikmok2mo ago

    What's taking so long to resolve this?

    0

  • kcuf2mo ago

    There's a 2nd round in November

    0

  • ch3dda3mo ago

    why hasnt this settled

    0

  • studmuffin69693mo ago

    i imagine that if anyone bothered proposing a resolution it would resolve

    0

  • ch3dda2mo ago

    I can't make a proposal according to the AI bot working customer serive

    0

  • studmuffin69693mo ago

    I don't understand what this takes to resolve

    1

  • AnEggplant3mo ago

    777? That you?

    0

  • adonpoli3mo ago

    waiting election to end so maybe not the best aor

    0

  • studmuffin69693mo ago

    yes hi?

    0

  • AnEggplant2mo ago

    Just neat to see another OG PI bro resurface

    0

  • Wunkles3mo ago

    Just FYI, Pratt No is free money that will be resolvable at the latest on July 2nd which is the cutoff for when first round results get officially certified. So free money that'll be 100c by July 2nd at most, likely sooner.

    1

  • yeyeyeyy2mo ago

    fuck- couldnt there be some biblical spencer comeback by the time nov. rolls around? i had like alot of money YES for pratt (high r/r) and now it's just closed as 'lost' but the election isn't done..

    0

  • 0x2775CDA0Ba36Dc0aFB73462B0059b634a2D59D60-17616641835303mo ago

    赎回

    0

  • DonationsReceiver3mo ago

    Can dispencer market be resolved (and others that didn't advance to runoff)?

    1

  • 0x6C39e617a248199054197C2417D015C46C7eB28b-17707288800213mo ago

    No

    0

  • Tigerofthehood3mo ago

    Free

    0

  • 5588vvc3mo ago

    hi @5588vvc

    0

Rules

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Market opened Oct 9, 2025, 8:11 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:10 PM

Market data

24h volume

$31,771

1 week volume

$136,748

1 month volume

$221,813

1 year volume

$1.7M

Spread

0.10%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

98.3%

1h change

+0.05%

1 week change

+4.15%

1 month change

+1.40%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0x694595d0a008f10e4701285d071e4b08407495f6f8a6bd8cbdd7de522fa9b463
Question ID:
0xb697d7fa3cab992642b5184ee66fe8a43f2f8a0ed55832d9657782295775f90a

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?" prediction market?

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 36.9%, No at 63.1% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$1.7M in total volume, with $31,771 in the last 24 hours and $167,278 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Dec 31, 2026. The market opened on Oct 9, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.

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