
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Active · Ends Nov 3, 2026
Yes probability
94.8%
24h change
-1.20%
Total volume
$2M
Liquidity
$77,049
Price history
Outcomes
Order book
Yes · 132 levels
- 95¢430
- 94¢5
- 94¢9
- 94¢6
- 93¢141
- 93¢2,499
- 93¢51
- 93¢1,098
- 95¢566
- 95¢10
- 95¢28
- 95¢124
- 96¢1,837
- 96¢200
- 96¢281
- 96¢1,318

coinlists211mo ago
where is Xander
0
NoSteinNoGate2mo ago
Why was the likely winner at almost 0% at one point?
0

shieldsnorma7072mo ago
omg, 90% already
0

bananavomBa7171mo ago
100prc is near
0

Mikaelo3mo ago
Easiest 11c ever
0
0x44vanz3mo ago
very strange. do people think a trump repub can win cal? lol
2

NixNov0083mo ago
California will always be Blue
0
Huskybee3mo ago
Porter and Caruso look like the real two horse race here
0

zepon3mo ago
xavious gonna be saviour
0

NixNov0083mo ago
Why the hell that billionaires Steyer is at 21% ahead of Hilton. He won't even win the primary.
0

MugenX3mo ago
Hilton is in the lead though so this doesn't make sense
1

Loggerhead3mo ago
ikr
0
DonaldTrumpito3mo ago
It does make sense when you realize Becerra will most likely absorb many of Steyer’s vote in the actual election.
1
iSELLHELLACRACK3mo ago
perhaps but the split should be closer to 50/50 rather than 90/10
1

AnEggplant3mo ago
We so appreciate your donation
0

NixNov0083mo ago
There is one thing You must learn. California will always be blue!
0
iSELLHELLACRACK2mo ago
You’re in a cult
0

dakotafox983mo ago
who is who
0
facekunal3mo ago
interesting
0

trafefair3mo ago
The consensus view seems overconfident on this one
0
BrumelCompanyLTD3mo ago
time to voteee😏
2

PeterMagyar3mo ago
Berkeley/IGS poll is coming soon
0

PeterMagyar3mo ago
Gonna come out after memorial day
0
desfero4mo ago
is this still live?
0

LiquidatedDegen4mo ago
As long as Becerra doesn't mess up tonight's debate, it'll be #BecerraEra
1

PeterMagyar4mo ago
Becerra 20% Steyer 19% Hilton 18% Porter 13% Bianco 12% Mahan 9% Emerson #A - LV - 5/10
2
MattC1234mo ago
When are we going to get a independent poll that is not rigged and funded by the DNC does anyone know?
1

PeterMagyar4mo ago
Next week probably, and then a swarm of them the week after
1

PeterMagyar4mo ago
Emerson came out (A rating) : Becerra 20% Steyer 19% Hilton 18% Porter 13% Bianco 12% Mahan 9% Emerson #A - LV - 5/10
0
MattC1234mo ago
Yeah, that’s what I suspected the Democratic centrist establishment polls were rigged against Steyer and artificially boosting Becerra, it’s basically a neck and neck race at this point between Steyer and Becerra.
2

bernardbulletin4mo ago
Nice,
1
PaulRevere4mo ago
Nevada, Texas, Florida, etc thank California for all the wealth fleeing California’s Democratic monopoly. Double down and Keep it up Californians!
1
0xfb1Cce32f0ef66F46f09367d596455946C4Ed115-17770145110594mo ago
So far, four new polls have tested the California governor’s race. Here’s what to make of them: YouGov/CBS News: Strongest pollster in the field, though not the newest. Steyer at 15% and Becerra at 13%. SurveyUSA: Credible pollster and the best recent public test. Steyer at 18% and Becerra at 10%. Evitarius: Sponsored by the CA Democratic Party and C-rated, so treat it cautiously. Becerra at 18% and Steyer at 12%. Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies: Most politically suspect poll. Sponsored by California Is Not For Sale, an anti-Steyer group. Becerra at 24% and Steyer at 15%.
1
Rules
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Market opened Oct 9, 2025, 7:56 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:10 PM
Market data
24h volume
$72,746
1 week volume
$88,989
1 month volume
$182,797
1 year volume
$2M
Spread
0.50%
Min order
5
Tick size
0.001
Competitiveness
83.3%
1h change
—
1 week change
-0.60%
1 month change
-0.15%
Negative risk
Yes
- Condition ID:
- 0xa5d79e71e66c9fe122f8b8b3ca6ab7a0e3048bd8508f130746944e92ed79ddf3
- Question ID:
- 0x0b6235b08df5cb142c191a770c6fd31e97facff05fb7f56c572a435bf73b7c05
Frequently asked questions
What is the "Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?" prediction market?
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
What are the current odds?
Yes at 94.8%, No at 5.3% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.
How much trading activity has this market generated?
$2M in total volume, with $72,746 in the last 24 hours and $77,049 of liquidity currently available.
When does this market close?
Trading runs until Nov 3, 2026. The market opened on Oct 9, 2025.
How do I trade this market?
Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.
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