Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Active · Ends Nov 8, 2028

No probability

99.9%

24h change

—

Total volume

$1.6M

Liquidity

$683,404

Price history

YesNo

Outcomes

Yes0.1%

No99.9%

Order book

Yes · 66 levels

BidsSize

0¢1,641,014

AsksSize

0¢34,156
0¢497,948
1¢4,137
1¢40,000
1¢10
9¢9
9¢9
10¢2,589

TheBigMuscle5d ago
I wish polymarket had collateral returns like the other site, I would buy no on Trump and all his kids and Elon musk.
0
BasedJonStewart8d ago
Finally turning my way, i had this called long ago
0
Ukireb14d ago
Name recognition feels overpriced in this race🤡🤡🤡
0
Gooorn17d ago
Primary voters might want something different...
0
stas19d ago
Rubio could become everyone's compromise candidate
0
vlnvndthkvlt4d ago
It's not a compromise, it's a plan. Vance is absorbing all the shit while Rubio and the Israel/FL Jewish lobby bide their time.
0
Distprter23d ago
Early polling doesn't award the nomination
0
dgvfdt624d ago
I see room for another contender.
0
ASBOREAN9227d ago
Trump's backing could move this fast.
5
547634656828d ago
The Republican bench deserves another look
6
NotaJoe1mo ago
3% on yes, really?! This is free money on NO lol
6
yungsoleimani1mo ago
have fun with 3% return in 2 years time mate
12
oilboil1mo ago
A Republican primary rewards actual delegates
0
kjhdfhj77hfe6TT1mo ago
Vance looks plausible, not inevitable
1
gfhtyuseg1mo ago
J. D. Vance really good for this job
0
Ozir2mo ago
It's rubio
2
bananavomBa7172mo ago
i know rubio can win if he will do great things
0
perps-01sqko852mo ago
JD vance should be much higher
0
makePace673mo ago
John Thune is the best guy of those who are here
0
dingidongi00093mo ago
its only your opinion broh
0
millkah3mo ago
shit😁😆
0
longtermgains2mo ago
The guy who refuses to push through the SAVE ACT? I don't know if you've been living under a rock, but Republican voters hate him. I can tell you with 100% certainty that he will never win.
0
vigfood4042mo ago
i know better guy here!
0
nimatinos2999922mo ago
not only his. think so man!
0
9527Keep9527Keep3mo ago
market will be a consensus of official Republican
0
bananajamsamin2mo ago
if it will be not official?
0
nimatinos2999923mo ago
vance loosing points. it bad signal for respublicans
1
benbrugger44843mo ago
glenn on the way on top
1
jdfoisd3mo ago
John Thune to be president USA!😀😀
5
dingidongi00093mo ago
i think so
0

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Market opened Jul 10, 2025, 4:58 PM · Last updated Nov 2, 2026, 9:29 PM

Market data

24h volume

$418,600

1 week volume

$478,531

1 month volume

$1.1M

1 year volume

$1.6M

Spread

0.10%

Min order

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

80.1%

1h change

—

1 week change

—

1 month change

—

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:: 0x8aff3e755f44bfea1baa433b2a175341204b0f85427e82f31c9c44d38b5a6ec7
Question ID:: 0xc7d902c4f18f9cc2c6e959c7a6b3556c53ebdb60820836ba9e2890374cfea629

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?" prediction market?

What are the current odds?

Yes at 0.1%, No at 99.9% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$1.6M in total volume, with $418,600 in the last 24 hours and $683,404 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Nov 8, 2028. The market opened on Jul 11, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.