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Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Active · Ends Nov 7, 2028

No probability

100.0%

24h change

Total volume

$19M

Liquidity

$2M

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 15Sep 180.1%100.0%

Outcomes

Yes0.1%
No100.0%

Order book

Yes · 59 levels
BidsSize
  1. No resting orders
AsksSize
  1. 0¢117,507
  2. 0¢216,986
  3. 0¢28,290
  4. 0¢14,664
  5. 1¢13,617
  6. 1¢34
  7. 1¢818,477
  8. 1¢705,873
  • Ray.Robinson1d ago

    didn't understand implied probability until i started using prеdiсuе. now i get it

    0

  • cleanprint1d ago

    everyone called this a coronation and the board's pricing a brawl, vance 51 and kennedy 49, the fight was priced on polybro before the pundits saw it

    0

  • kjhdfhj77hfe6TT8d ago

    Vance looks plausible, not inevitable

    1

  • gfhtyuseg10d ago

    J. D. Vance really good for this job

    0

  • TheBigMuscle1mo ago

    Kemp won the last governor election in Georgia by 8%, yet he declined to run for senate there this year. It's pretty clear he wants to run for president in 2028. He has the best chance if the Trump brand becomes unpopular or if trump dies.

    1

  • vigfood40417d ago

    youre good!

    0

  • Ozir1mo ago

    It's rubio

    2

  • bananavomBa7171mo ago

    i know rubio can win if he will do great things

    0

  • perps-01sqko851mo ago

    JD vance should be much higher

    0

  • makePace671mo ago

    John Thune is the best guy of those who are here

    0

  • dingidongi00091mo ago

    its only your opinion broh

    0

  • millkah1mo ago

    shit😁😆

    0

  • longtermgains1mo ago

    The guy who refuses to push through the SAVE ACT? I don't know if you've been living under a rock, but Republican voters hate him. I can tell you with 100% certainty that he will never win.

    0

  • vigfood4041mo ago

    i know better guy here!

    0

  • nimatinos29999221d ago

    not only his. think so man!

    0

  • 9527Keep9527Keep1mo ago

    market will be a consensus of official Republican

    0

  • bananajamsamin1mo ago

    if it will be not official?

    0

  • nimatinos2999921mo ago

    vance loosing points. it bad signal for respublicans

    1

  • benbrugger44841mo ago

    glenn on the way on top

    1

  • jdfoisd1mo ago

    John Thune to be president USA!😀😀

    5

  • dingidongi00091mo ago

    i think so

    0

  • ArieLethal2mo ago

    Go to the market, Israel, close the sky until. Buy yes, and you will profit.

    3

  • rillsoapsters1mo ago

    no no!!!

    0

  • 0xBdE37A19aAb4EBaEFAf7263E7C6010982f6e317f-17736838669612mo ago

    Perps Code: 00jbvof3

    0

  • jimceryt99921d ago

    fake code

    0

  • ghj98762mo ago

    musk

    3

  • BetsAhead2mo ago

    Elon Musk is born in Pretoria, South Africa in 1971.

    3

  • commiehater20251mo ago

    That is not the issue. He is a naturalized citizen. If he was a natural born citizen (born in the US, or abroad if he had an american parent) he could be the candidate.

    0

  • Mirheesa1mo ago

    You can keep him, it's cool 🇿🇦

    0

  • zelemantata81mo ago

    husk

    0

  • makePace672mo ago

    John Thune to be president USA!

    2

  • dingidongi00091mo ago

    its unreal my dear friend

    0

  • mnbgfg7782mo ago

    The 2028 GOP primary race is a close two-way fight between VP JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio at this early stage.

    2

  • wer56702mo ago

    It is too early to lock down the 2028 Republican nominee, yet JD Vance stands as the clear early frontrunner.

    2

  • LShibalba2mo ago

    JD is the face of a weak America. The last couple of days are such an embarrassment, its heart aching.

    6

  • makePace673mo ago

    John Thune us totally undervalue!

    1

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Market opened Jul 10, 2025, 4:58 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:12 PM

Market data

24h volume

$72,000

1 week volume

$72,000

1 month volume

$342,810

1 year volume

$10.8M

Spread

0.10%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

80.0%

1h change

1 week change

1 month change

-0.20%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0x7abed80b88301210ee83b7b14ec41bc9a5161e1af07254fbb26c6e2bf7182766
Question ID:
0xc7d902c4f18f9cc2c6e959c7a6b3556c53ebdb60820836ba9e2890374cfea61d

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 0.1%, No at 100.0% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$19M in total volume, with $72,000 in the last 24 hours and $2M of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Nov 7, 2028. The market opened on Jul 11, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.