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Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Active · Ends Nov 7, 2028

No probability

99.9%

24h change

—

Total volume

$1.5M

Liquidity

$1.8M

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 15Sep 180.1%99.9%

Outcomes

Yes0.1%
No99.9%

Order book

Yes · 75 levels
BidsSize
  1. 0¢20,277
AsksSize
  1. 0¢265,054
  2. 0¢1,043,669
  3. 0¢252,413
  4. 1¢50,401
  5. 1¢50,356
  6. 1¢356
  7. 1¢356
  8. 1¢40,356

  • bullcycle1d ago

    the whole field and only one man's above 20, vance at 22 with aoc chasing at 13, the top spot on polybro hasn't changed hands all year

    0

  • ISMS22221d ago

    Every simulation I run of Ossoff vs. Vance has roughly 100 electoral votes shifting toward Ossoff’s side of the board. Ossoff isn’t just a 2028 play—he has the age and runway to be a serious 2032 contender as well. Newsom vs. Vance looks much closer to a coin flip. His California record gives Republicans an obvious affordability argument, and the establishment label could become increasingly difficult to escape. A major unanswered question is whether he can generate the Black turnout a Democratic nominee needs in states like Georgia and North Carolina. AOC has a different problem: expanding beyond her existing coalition. The more national exposure she gets, the more important that becomes. Ossoff’s potential advantage is the map. A Democrat who can seriously contest Georgia while remaining competitive across the traditional Democratic battlegrounds suddenly has multiple paths to 270. That’s what makes him interesting—not one poll, but the electoral geography.

    0

  • RaymondVan1d ago

    Warnock 120x cheaper tho wiv same map

    0

  • vhnhtr78ytj3d ago

    The electoral map matters more than vibes

    0

  • cvr56769d ago

    Vance has a plausible path, but nomination and election are separate hurdles.

    0

  • CKAB7d ago

    His path has become razor thin. The far right hates him more than anyone, and that's who got Trump into office.

    0

  • Lilit9d ago

    I'm waiting for clearer candidacies before declaring the race solved

    0

  • Growland10d ago

    Who has the clearest route to victory in the 2028 presidential election...😶‍🌫️

    0

  • CKAB7d ago

    Ossoff. Easily.

    1

  • Markan-TopV111d ago

    Since there's no Charlie Sheen imma have to go with Tulsi.

    3

  • truthteller12d ago

    Im a trump voter and even I would consider voting for Ossoff

    1

  • Boey18d ago

    When will we stop winning Ossoffbros?

    3

  • CKAB7d ago

    It's so obvious that he's winning in 2028 and 2032 and anyone who can't see that by now is a bozo.

    0

  • Justintx18d ago

    Can you just imagine AOC's reaction if Russia starts casually starts boiling the frog with increasingly larger tactical nukes?

    1

  • 0xEB7d609131bDF21dCba6B31dAeB03499A29B859c-176784216964620d ago

    America will never ever have a female president.

    2

  • DoctorNick21d ago

    where is mamdani

    0

  • G-G-691mo ago

    who added the rock and kim kardashian in this lmao

    2

  • SamAlterman1mo ago

    JD Vance will be the best president in the entire United States' historia. In the name of mother, daughter and totally existence, all money and power are yours, forever and ever, amen.

    2

  • Mad031720d ago

    F you it's not gonna happen

    0

  • MistoBeasto1mo ago

    add Braden Peters

    0

  • MistoBeasto1mo ago

    Braden Peters 2028

    0

  • PiEye1mo ago

    What if the election doesn't take place? (i.e. a coup or a civil war)

    0

  • 0xEB7d609131bDF21dCba6B31dAeB03499A29B859c-17678421696461mo ago

    RUBIO 2028!

    1

  • AGallopingHorseOnFire1mo ago

    wen El Sayed

    1

  • WuhanDaDa1mo ago

    No Rahm 2028?

    1

Rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Market opened Jul 8, 2025, 7:06 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:12 PM

Market data

24h volume

$62,628

1 week volume

$72,583

1 month volume

$240,093

1 year volume

$1.5M

Spread

0.10%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

80.1%

1h change

—

1 week change

—

1 month change

—

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0x75a4331e0882450f68e29c8daf376012c954b43c93af848d6ba19ffd6405bac9
Question ID:
0xb9aa4595bbe8ca1ecceeb16d24fb5df6d27d4e2116787ad874ff31f682bdb42f

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?" prediction market?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 0.1%, No at 99.9% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$1.5M in total volume, with $62,628 in the last 24 hours and $1.8M of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Nov 7, 2028. The market opened on Jul 11, 2025.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.

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