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Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2030

No probability

79.5%

24h change

—

Total volume

$8,410

Liquidity

$127,812

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 17Sep 18Sep 1820.5%79.5%

Outcomes

Yes20.5%
No79.5%

Order book

Yes · 24 levels
BidsSize
  1. 20¢31,835
  2. 19¢115,090
  3. 18¢146,032
  4. 17¢80,828
  5. 8¢50
  6. 7¢286
  7. 6¢333
  8. 5¢400
AsksSize
  1. 21¢16,030
  2. 22¢37,224
  3. 23¢19,811
  4. 24¢3,200
  5. 25¢67
  6. 90¢70
  7. 91¢44
  8. 94¢6

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market opened Sep 17, 2026, 10:37 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:10 PM

Market data

24h volume

$8,410

1 week volume

$8,410

1 month volume

$8,410

1 year volume

$8,410

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

92.0%

1h change

—

1 week change

—

1 month change

—

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0xb244878f901ee9802e1f4cce45b325f8e669fa2b185b9fe72699c5adbe923330
Question ID:
0x18187a483978af32abe778f4c4eb0ff40fcaa01eae0db0f59fbbab423c75a8e4

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 20.5%, No at 79.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$8,410 in total volume, with $8,410 in the last 24 hours and $127,812 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2030. The market opened on Sep 17, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.

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