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Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2030

No probability

80.5%

24h change

—

Total volume

$9,632

Liquidity

$118,211

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 17Sep 18Sep 1819.5%80.5%

Outcomes

Yes19.5%
No80.5%

Order book

Yes · 26 levels
BidsSize
  1. 19¢22,355
  2. 18¢96,779
  3. 17¢235,550
  4. 16¢86,983
  5. 15¢6,069
  6. 14¢1,000
  7. 8¢50
  8. 7¢286
AsksSize
  1. 20¢7,534
  2. 21¢26,887
  3. 22¢12,719
  4. 23¢4,200
  5. 90¢570
  6. 91¢44
  7. 94¢500
  8. 95¢6

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market opened Sep 17, 2026, 10:28 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:10 PM

Market data

24h volume

$9,632

1 week volume

$9,632

1 month volume

$9,632

1 year volume

$9,632

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

91.5%

1h change

—

1 week change

—

1 month change

—

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x0399d8fefe701087fe01257eb7efcc2530b86a7b1571bea87beb9da0a3e2bc73
Question ID:
0xed6761df2423637c424a62dec7a6878839c67a4749c3a856dc8b0e6d0a8bf3cd

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 19.5%, No at 80.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$9,632 in total volume, with $9,632 in the last 24 hours and $118,211 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2030. The market opened on Sep 17, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.

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