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Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2029

No probability

84.5%

24h change

—

Total volume

$7,956

Liquidity

$137,047

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 17Sep 18Sep 1815.5%84.5%

Outcomes

Yes15.5%
No84.5%

Order book

Yes · 26 levels
BidsSize
  1. 15¢19,400
  2. 14¢113,823
  3. 13¢375,357
  4. 12¢186,940
  5. 10¢1,611
  6. 7¢343
  7. 6¢333
  8. 5¢400
AsksSize
  1. 16¢9,619
  2. 17¢22,165
  3. 18¢12,508
  4. 19¢3,400
  5. 80¢35
  6. 81¢42
  7. 82¢1,543
  8. 83¢6,858

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market opened Sep 17, 2026, 10:28 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:10 PM

Market data

24h volume

$7,956

1 week volume

$7,956

1 month volume

$7,956

1 year volume

$7,956

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

89.4%

1h change

—

1 week change

—

1 month change

—

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x7057b4656e893ea59788c4fafa58bff19e8429f2c92d3a1ae613bd1d4aa90ef3
Question ID:
0xf74f41d60a361d21b86db180d21346e8eba2fb78032c9c1565053cf8572cb6ae

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 15.5%, No at 84.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$7,956 in total volume, with $7,956 in the last 24 hours and $137,047 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2029. The market opened on Sep 17, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.

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