Back to markets

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Active · Ends Jan 1, 2028

No probability

92.5%

24h change

—

Total volume

$10,484

Liquidity

$126,365

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 17Sep 18Sep 187.5%92.5%

Outcomes

Yes7.5%
No92.5%

Order book

Yes · 23 levels
BidsSize
  1. 7¢33,976
  2. 6¢51,177
  3. 5¢41,459
  4. 4¢357,978
  5. 3¢673
  6. 2¢1,273
  7. 1¢2,662
AsksSize
  1. 8¢11,366
  2. 9¢45,860
  3. 10¢47,937
  4. 11¢7,619
  5. 12¢555
  6. 14¢8
  7. 15¢10
  8. 35¢12

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market opened Sep 17, 2026, 10:28 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:12 PM

Market data

24h volume

$10,484

1 week volume

$10,484

1 month volume

$10,484

1 year volume

$10,484

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

84.7%

1h change

—

1 week change

—

1 month change

—

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0x772c4295fd857463eb407023fa2c7ccfcd4293b3deb1c4beb901ec4987928203
Question ID:
0x94a60525cd8fb366e6a95bb8e8b67bd2e3fd19b8023b1d52260d715511727c36

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 7.5%, No at 92.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$10,484 in total volume, with $10,484 in the last 24 hours and $126,365 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Jan 1, 2028. The market opened on Sep 17, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.

Related markets