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Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?

Active · Ends Sep 18, 2026

Up probability

96.5%

24h change

+46.55%

Total volume

$113,248

Liquidity

$45,693

Price history

UpDown
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 16Sep 17Sep 1895.7%3.7%

Outcomes

Up96.5%
Down3.5%

Order book

Up · 89 levels
BidsSize
  1. 96¢1,484
  2. 96¢387
  3. 96¢7,274
  4. 96¢10
  5. 96¢5
  6. 96¢7,105
  7. 95¢5,331
  8. 94¢40
AsksSize
  1. 97¢137
  2. 97¢100
  3. 97¢80
  4. 97¢400
  5. 97¢9
  6. 97¢200
  7. 98¢339
  8. 98¢400

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Market opened Sep 16, 2026, 4:07 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:10 PM

Market data

24h volume

$113,231

1 week volume

$113,248

1 month volume

$113,248

1 year volume

$113,248

Spread

0.10%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

82.2%

1h change

+0.10%

1 week change

—

1 month change

—

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0xf92c51408f6139fa585e2dae37324c35d611a0f4697cef3069ccf0eab2040a97
Question ID:
0x4e46b8375ee6c820ef8a04c1902d230f6db722c44a662012fa53ef006f55aacf

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

What are the current odds?

Up at 96.5%, Down at 3.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$113,248 in total volume, with $113,231 in the last 24 hours and $45,693 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Sep 18, 2026. The market opened on Sep 16, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.

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