Back to markets

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?

Active · Ends Sep 18, 2026

No probability

89.5%

24h change

-18.00%

Total volume

$217,539

Liquidity

$3,335

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 15Sep 1810.0%89.5%

Outcomes

Yes10.5%
No89.5%

Order book

Yes · 63 levels
BidsSize
  1. 10¢150
  2. 9¢105
  3. 8¢209
  4. 7¢523
  5. 6¢765
  6. 5¢1,150
  7. 4¢1,966
  8. 3¢6,232
AsksSize
  1. 11¢110
  2. 12¢200
  3. 13¢189
  4. 14¢20
  5. 15¢6
  6. 19¢20
  7. 22¢200
  8. 24¢15

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Market opened Sep 8, 2026, 4:00 AM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:12 PM

Market data

24h volume

$109,442

1 week volume

$216,477

1 month volume

$217,539

1 year volume

$217,539

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

86.5%

1h change

1 week change

-5.00%

1 month change

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0x5899cb29acd77c44c2c832b031f4d3db09991cbee9441dcbfc78ae3733f12e7c
Question ID:
0x6131b22f05e3180da76f205eb1a97255b9d721ac5d56aa23cdbce9e180e85a0a

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?" prediction market?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 10.5%, No at 89.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$217,539 in total volume, with $109,442 in the last 24 hours and $3,335 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Sep 18, 2026. The market opened on Sep 8, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.