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Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?

Active · Ends Sep 30, 2026

Yes probability

79.5%

24h change

-3.00%

Total volume

$20,440

Liquidity

$499

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 15Sep 1879.5%20.5%

Outcomes

Yes79.5%
No20.5%

Order book

Yes · 25 levels
BidsSize
  1. 79¢99
  2. 78¢140
  3. 76¢29
  4. 30¢40
  5. 29¢30
  6. 25¢30
  7. 17¢40
  8. 8¢53
AsksSize
  1. 80¢120
  2. 81¢69
  3. 82¢350
  4. 85¢51
  5. 86¢129
  6. 87¢20
  7. 88¢5
  8. 92¢150

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in September, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Market opened Aug 31, 2026, 1:40 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:14 PM

Market data

24h volume

$720

1 week volume

$1,617

1 month volume

$20,440

1 year volume

$20,440

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

92.0%

1h change

1 week change

+9.00%

1 month change

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0xfa86eb71dd544262ca6b015cf54bb3058684698af552fe28c4e328a694d5adc1
Question ID:
0xf014c820c548bdadf4d79b06be4a8a3a007a0cfebc93fa08fbeb1ed3cd07fe00

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?" prediction market?

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in September, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of September at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 79.5%, No at 20.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$20,440 in total volume, with $720 in the last 24 hours and $499 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Sep 30, 2026. The market opened on Aug 31, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.