Back to markets

Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?

Active · Ends Sep 16, 2026

No probability

100.0%

24h change

Total volume

$178,462

Liquidity

$814,027

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 15Sep 180.1%100.0%

Outcomes

Yes0.1%
No100.0%

Order book

Yes · 32 levels
BidsSize
  1. No resting orders
AsksSize
  1. 0¢779,909
  2. 0¢15
  3. 1¢2,000
  4. 1¢2,000
  5. 2¢3,000
  6. 2¢3,000
  7. 2¢3,000
  8. 2¢3,000

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The relevant airports are: - Sheremetyevo (SVO); - Domodedovo (DME); and - Vnukovo (VKO). A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify. The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market opened Aug 24, 2026, 11:11 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:10 PM

Market data

24h volume

$61,366

1 week volume

$159,599

1 month volume

$178,462

1 year volume

$178,462

Spread

0.10%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.001

Competitiveness

80.0%

1h change

1 week change

-34.60%

1 month change

Negative risk

No

Condition ID:
0xa03d6aa64d13ad2965f73e1e1aa4f5aecdc3d544d3cf8819ef2f3d3240396c74
Question ID:
0x68b44b30ca4ba3c3702cf29c46a0faadfc8bdf4dc9acee3ab001a76491913604

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?" prediction market?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The relevant airports are: - Sheremetyevo (SVO); - Domodedovo (DME); and - Vnukovo (VKO). A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify. The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 0.1%, No at 100.0% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$178,462 in total volume, with $61,366 in the last 24 hours and $814,027 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Sep 16, 2026. The market opened on Aug 24, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.