
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
Active · Ends Sep 16, 2026
No probability
100.0%
24h change
—
Total volume
$178,462
Liquidity
$814,027
Price history
Outcomes
Order book
Yes · 32 levels
- No resting orders
- 0¢779,909
- 0¢15
- 1¢2,000
- 1¢2,000
- 2¢3,000
- 2¢3,000
- 2¢3,000
- 2¢3,000
No comments on this market yet.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The relevant airports are: - Sheremetyevo (SVO); - Domodedovo (DME); and - Vnukovo (VKO). A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify. The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market opened Aug 24, 2026, 11:11 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:10 PM
Market data
24h volume
$61,366
1 week volume
$159,599
1 month volume
$178,462
1 year volume
$178,462
Spread
0.10%
Min order
5
Tick size
0.001
Competitiveness
80.0%
1h change
—
1 week change
-34.60%
1 month change
—
Negative risk
No
- Condition ID:
- 0xa03d6aa64d13ad2965f73e1e1aa4f5aecdc3d544d3cf8819ef2f3d3240396c74
- Question ID:
- 0x68b44b30ca4ba3c3702cf29c46a0faadfc8bdf4dc9acee3ab001a76491913604
Frequently asked questions
What is the "Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?" prediction market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The relevant airports are: - Sheremetyevo (SVO); - Domodedovo (DME); and - Vnukovo (VKO). A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify. The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What are the current odds?
Yes at 0.1%, No at 100.0% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.
How much trading activity has this market generated?
$178,462 in total volume, with $61,366 in the last 24 hours and $814,027 of liquidity currently available.
When does this market close?
Trading runs until Sep 16, 2026. The market opened on Aug 24, 2026.
How do I trade this market?
Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.
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