No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Active · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Yes probability
82.0%
24h change
+25.00%
Total volume
$41,898
Liquidity
$4,523
Price history
Outcomes
Order book
Yes · 43 levels
- 81¢571
- 80¢505
- 79¢310
- 78¢28
- 76¢20
- 75¢30
- 74¢30
- 71¢101
- 83¢280
- 84¢376
- 85¢31
- 86¢20
- 87¢72
- 88¢377
- 89¢370
- 90¢515
No comments on this market yet.
Rules
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market opened Jul 31, 2026, 11:18 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:10 PM
Market data
24h volume
$4,279
1 week volume
$9,232
1 month volume
$18,479
1 year volume
$41,898
Spread
2.00%
Min order
5
Tick size
0.01
Competitiveness
90.7%
1h change
—
1 week change
-3.00%
1 month change
+8.50%
Negative risk
Yes
- Condition ID:
- 0x35597e4e103ac82e2fa2e545c1d3166d3ab46d330b6ebb848cbf5da37dea23dd
- Question ID:
- 0x03756fcaa9fc8cbb804c9f487a2040ea2d4586582eca668338275149e5df6202
Frequently asked questions
What is the "No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?" prediction market?
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
What are the current odds?
Yes at 82.0%, No at 18.0% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.
How much trading activity has this market generated?
$41,898 in total volume, with $4,279 in the last 24 hours and $4,523 of liquidity currently available.
When does this market close?
Trading runs until Oct 30, 2026. The market opened on Jul 31, 2026.
How do I trade this market?
Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.
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