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Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?

Active · Ends Nov 5, 2026

Yes probability

70.5%

24h change

+7.50%

Total volume

$38,193

Liquidity

$10,661

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 15Sep 1870.5%29.5%

Outcomes

Yes70.5%
No29.5%

Order book

Yes · 54 levels
BidsSize
  1. 70¢754
  2. 69¢170
  3. 68¢76
  4. 67¢108
  5. 65¢10
  6. 64¢6
  7. 60¢40
  8. 56¢367
AsksSize
  1. 71¢4,187
  2. 72¢167
  3. 73¢2,032
  4. 74¢3,260
  5. 75¢1,042
  6. 76¢991
  7. 77¢667
  8. 78¢2,671

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Market opened Jul 31, 2026, 9:39 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 12:12 PM

Market data

24h volume

$7,750

1 week volume

$16,091

1 month volume

$35,189

1 year volume

$38,193

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

96.0%

1h change

1 week change

+24.00%

1 month change

+58.50%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0x9fee56ff658a4063a05c0d372c2854c4c5594ccfd899fc3922a78e61c05a72e4
Question ID:
0xee8fde399acd309826abfa5487602da35c7d49be958ce0314f023b3529a99c03

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?" prediction market?

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 70.5%, No at 29.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$38,193 in total volume, with $7,750 in the last 24 hours and $10,661 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Nov 5, 2026. The market opened on Jul 31, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.