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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Active · Ends Oct 28, 2026

No probability

52.5%

24h change

-5.00%

Total volume

$2M

Liquidity

$392,857

Price history

YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Sep 14Sep 1847.5%52.5%

Outcomes

Yes47.5%
No52.5%

Order book

Yes · 76 levels
BidsSize
  1. 47¢8,316
  2. 46¢15,297
  3. 45¢2,259
  4. 44¢4,228
  5. 43¢2,408
  6. 42¢8,924
  7. 41¢21
  8. 40¢4,720
AsksSize
  1. 48¢28,439
  2. 49¢155,789
  3. 50¢115,378
  4. 51¢173,839
  5. 52¢9,348
  6. 53¢15,269
  7. 54¢13,784
  8. 55¢15,332

No comments on this market yet.

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Market opened Jun 17, 2026, 11:05 PM · Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 10:44 AM

Market data

24h volume

$305,207

1 week volume

$1.7M

1 month volume

$1.8M

1 year volume

$2M

Spread

1.00%

Min order

5

Tick size

0.01

Competitiveness

99.9%

1h change

1 week change

-17.00%

1 month change

-24.00%

Negative risk

Yes

Condition ID:
0xdf9bf27ee5757c55b44b8b9826ddc9ec3a8809aa3278634c45edbb7fc8f1a3e3
Question ID:
0x09ac0b2770dbcad3f2e4f5356a68af57cb8ca7502b02645a07b0290d46026a02

Frequently asked questions

What is the "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?" prediction market?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

What are the current odds?

Yes at 47.5%, No at 52.5% Odds move with trading and refresh as the market updates.

How much trading activity has this market generated?

$2M in total volume, with $305,207 in the last 24 hours and $392,857 of liquidity currently available.

When does this market close?

Trading runs until Oct 28, 2026. The market opened on Jun 18, 2026.

How do I trade this market?

Holdytic is a read-only view of Polymarket data. Use the “Trade on Polymarket” link to place an order on Polymarket itself, where you can connect a wallet and fund a position.